Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Weserstadion
Game Overview
A crucial Bundesliga match between Werder Bremen and St. Pauli, with Werder attempting to escape the relegation zone and St. Pauli aiming to halt their recent form dip.
Key Factors to Consider
- Werder Bremen is currently in 8th place with 46 points, while St. Pauli ranks 14th with 31 points. Werder has shown more consistency in recent games.
- Recent matches have seen under 2.5 goals often, reflecting cautious play by both teams.
- St. Pauli has players like Irvine and Jones R.J. struggling with injuries.
- Home advantage could significantly boost Werder Bremen’s chances.
- Werder Bremen is highly motivated to win given their current position and recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Werder Bremen: 132, St. Pauli: 190, Draw: 260 | Werder Bremen | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Werder Bremen: -0.25 102, St. Pauli: 25 -122 | Werder Bremen | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 | Under 2.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Werder Bremen 39% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 40% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Werder Bremen will win a low-scoring match with under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0