Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Weserstadion, Bremen, Germany
Game Overview
Werder Bremen hosts Bayer Leverkusen in the second Bundesliga round. Both teams started the season poorly, with Bremen losing heavily in their opener and Leverkusen also winless in the league so far. Leverkusen has historically had the upper hand, but Bremen has been competitive recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Werder Bremen suffered a 1-4 home loss last match and have low xG and offensive output. Bayer Leverkusen also started with losses but have scored more and kept better defensive stats. Leverkusenβs new manager Erik ten Hag is still settling in.
- Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, but Bremen is unbeaten in the last two (win and draw). Recent games have been competitive with close scorelines.
- Werder Bremen had many injuries but key players like centre-backs Niklas Stark and Marco Friedl have returned, helping their defense. No major reported injuries for Bayer Leverkusen.
- Match played at Werder Bremen's home ground, which could boost their motivation. Early-season form could see both sides still finding rhythm.
- Werder Bremen aims to recover from a heavy defeat and missed out on Europe by narrow margins last season, motivating a strong home performance. Leverkusen's new management seeks their first win to stabilize confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -109 for Bayer Leverkusen, +270 for Werder Bremen, +280 draw | Bayer Leverkusen | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -0.5 Bayer Leverkusen -110, +50 Werder Bremen -110 | Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3 -110, Under 3 -110 | Over 3 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bayer Leverkusen 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bayer Leverkusen moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-3