Match Analysis: Watford vs Hull City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vicarage Road
Game Overview
The EFL Championship Round 7 match between Watford and Hull City at Vicarage Road is set to be closely contested given their balanced recent performances and history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Watford has a slightly better recent home form but suffered 2 losses in their last 4 home matches. Hull City shows a trend of frequent draws away with 75% draws in last 4 away fixtures, accompanied by modest goal-scoring rates (Watford 0.8 PPG, Hull 1.1 PPG). Both teams have struggled with scoring consistency recently.
- Historically balanced with Hull City holding a slight edge: Hull 8 wins, Watford 6 wins, and 6 draws in 20 matches since 2005. Recent encounters lean slightly towards low-scoring, tight affairs.
- No specific injury information available in current data; assume both squads relatively fit.
- Home advantage for Watford at Vicarage Road is notable but tempered by their inconsistent home form. No significant external disruptions identified.
- Both teams are motivated to climb the mid-table Championship standings in early season form, but Hullβs recent draw-heavy away form may encourage a cautious approach.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +115 Watford, +225 Hull City, +220 Draw | Watford | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Watford -0.25 (-112), Hull City +25 (-108) | Watford -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (102), Under 2.5 (-122) | Under 2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Watford 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Watford Moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-0