Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Benfica – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal
Game Overview
Benfica are dominant favorites given their strong away form and historical superiority over Vitória SC. Vitória SC have shown resilience at home but struggle against top clubs like Benfica. Both teams have attacking potential, and the match could see goals from both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica are undefeated in their last 4 away Primeira Liga matches with 3 wins and 1 draw, sitting 3rd in the table with 21 points. Vitória SC are mid-table (11th) with mixed recent form, scoring and conceding regularly at home.
- Benfica have dominated with 35 wins in 49 clashes versus Vitória SC's 6, including a 3-0 away win on their last meeting on 19 April 2025. Recent meetings favor Benfica with 67% win rate.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side that significantly impact starting XI or key players for this fixture.
- Benfica's motivation to maintain top table position and secure European qualification contrasts with Vitória SC's aim to climb mid-table, possibly increasing Benfica's intensity.
- Benfica are motivated to extend their unbeaten away run and capitalize on Vitória SC's inconsistency, while Vitória SC seek points to improve standing but face tough opposition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Benfica: -220, Vitória SC: 500, Draw: 365 | Benfica | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Benfica -1.25: 102, Vitória SC +1.25: -122 | Vitória SC +1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Benfica 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Benfica; Spread: Vitória SC +1.25; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: Benfica 3 – 1 Vitória SC