Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Mallorca – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Spain
Game Overview
Villarreal hosts Mallorca in a La Liga fixture at Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal comes into the match with strong form, ranking 3rd in the league with 26 points from 12 games, while Mallorca is positioned 15th with 12 points. Villarreal has been undefeated at home in recent matches and has shown solid attacking and defensive performance, whereas Mallorca has had an inconsistent campaign with mixed results and struggles for consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Villarreal has scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches and holds the most clean sheets in the league (6). They are unbeaten in La Liga since early October and have won their last two league matches against Mallorca. Mallorca has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets in 6 recent games, showing some improvement but inconsistent overall.
- Villarreal has a favorable recent head-to-head record against Mallorca, winning the last two encounters including a 4-0 home victory in their most recent meeting. Across the last 10 meetings, Villarreal won 5 times, Mallorca 3 times, with 2 draws.
- No specific injury updates are reported for either side from available data, suggesting both teams may have their key players available.
- The match is played at Villarreal’s home ground, providing them a home advantage. There is no indication of adverse weather or other external disruptions affecting the game environment.
- Villarreal aims to consolidate their strong start to the season and maintain top positions in the table. Mallorca seeks to improve their form and avoid slipping further down the standings, aiming to gain points away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca: 5.75, Villarreal: -2.4, Draw: 3.85 | Villarreal Win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Mallorca: 1.25, villarreal: -1.25 | Villarreal -1.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75, Under: 2.75 | Over 2.75 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Villarreal -15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Villarreal is favored to win given their superior form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance. A competitive match is expected, but Villarreal’s strength suggests a 2-1 victory.
Predicted Score: 2-1