Match Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany
Game Overview
VfL Wolfsburg hosts TSG Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga match where both teams seek to recover from recent cup exits and secure valuable points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wolfsburg has the best defense in the Bundesliga this season with only 13 goals conceded in 8 matches, showing resilience especially at home. Hoffenheim has a strong away attacking record, averaging 2.5 goals per away game but faces injury setbacks.
- Recent encounters have been closely contested with low-to-mid scoring draws; the last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, reflecting evenly matched teams.
- Hoffenheim has several key players out including Arthur Chaves, Gendrey, Hlozek, and Machida, which weakens their defense and attacking options. Wolfsburgβs Jenson Seelt is available despite a recent sending-off.
- Both teams are focused on Bundesliga after disappointing cup eliminations, increasing their motivation to perform well in this league match.
- Both sides are desperate for points to improve their league standing, with Wolfsburg aiming to maintain home defensive stability and Hoffenheim looking to overcome injury challenges to continue strong away form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 175, away: 134, draw: 280 | Draw | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | hoff_away_-0.25: 105, wolfs_home_+25: -125 | Wolfsburg +0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over_3: -118, under_3: -102 | Under 3 Goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Draw 60% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 60% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1