Match Analysis: VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Game Overview
The match between VfL Bochum and FSV Mainz 05 is crucial for both teams, with Mainz aiming to maintain their top-half position and Bochum fighting to avoid relegation. Historically, Mainz has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning 12 out of 19 matches, while Bochum has won just three times.
Key Factors to Consider
- FSV Mainz 05 is currently in 7th position, showcasing stronger form compared to Bochum, who ranks 18th. Mainz has an average of 1.53 goals scored per game, while Bochum averages 0.9 goals scored.
- Head-to-head statistics favor Mainz with 12 wins against Bochum's 3 wins. The average goals scored in direct matches is 3.05, indicating a potentially high-scoring game.
- No specific injury information is available for this match.
- Bochum's home advantage might offer some motivation, but Mainz's superior form and historical dominance could offset this.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with Mainz seeking to secure a strong finish and Bochum desperate to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | VfL Bochum: 195, FSV Mainz 05: 125, Draw: 275 | FSV Mainz 05 to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | FSV Mainz 05 -0.25 -105, VfL Bochum +25 -115 | FSV Mainz 05 to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -120, Under 2.75 100 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FSV Mainz 05 24% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: FSV Mainz 05 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FSV Mainz 05 is likely to win due to their superior form and historical dominance over VfL Bochum.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of FSV Mainz 05