Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: São Januario, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
This match between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza is crucial for both teams in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Recent form and head-to-head results will significantly influence the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vasco da Gama has shown strong performances at home, while Fortaleza has struggled on the road. Vasco da Gama recently beat Fortaleza 2-0 in their last Serie A meeting.
- Vasco da Gama has a slight edge in recent encounters, winning 3 of their last 10 meetings against Fortaleza, with Fortaleza winning 3 as well. However, Vasco da Gama has been more consistent in their home games.
- No significant injury reports for either team are available.
- Home advantage is a significant factor, with Vasco da Gama typically performing better at São Januario.
- Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points in the league standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Vasco da Gama: 140, Fortaleza: 235, Draw: 205 | Vasco da Gama | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Vasco da Gama: -0.25 (100), Fortaleza: 25 (-120) | Vasco da Gama | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2 (-118), Under: 2 (-102) | Under | ★★★☆☆ 50% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Vasco da Gama 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vasco da Gama is likely to win this match, considering their home advantage and recent performance against Fortaleza.
Predicted Score: Vasco da Gama 2, Fortaleza 0