Match Analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Game Overview
Vancouver Whitecaps FC host St. Louis City SC in an MLS match where Vancouver sits mid-top table with a solid defensive record and good home form, whereas St. Louis is struggling to make a playoff push and is considered a long shot this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vancouver Whitecaps rank 6th in xG with 42.9 expected goals and have allowed 29 goals (~1.12 per game) with 11 clean sheets. Vancouver has been relatively solid defensively and possesses a higher average points per game (1.77) compared to St. Louis City's inconsistent form.
- Recent H2H data is limited due to St. Louis City being a newer MLS expansion team; however, Vancouver's home advantage and experience in the league give them an edge.
- No significant injury data available indicates major absences impacting either side's starting lineup.
- BC Place offers strong home support for Vancouver, and travel fatigue could mildly affect St. Louis City on an away trip. St. Louis City's long odds in the MLS Cup reflect a challenging season.
- Vancouver aims to solidify their playoff positioning, bringing higher motivation levels, while St. Louis City SC faces an uphill battle with lower playoff probability, possibly affecting morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Vancouver Whitecaps FC -188, St. Louis City SC +420, Draw +360 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Vancouver Whitecaps FC -1.5 +129, St. Louis City SC +1.5 -172 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 +113, Under 3.5 -152 | Under 3.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win on moneyline, covering -1.5 goal spread, and the game to stay under 3.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0