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Valencia vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valencia vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mestalla, Valencia, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga opening fixture features Valencia hosting Real Sociedad at Mestalla. Both teams have struggled recently, positioned 19th and 17th respectively in the league, with closely matched recent form and goal-scoring records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valencia scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches with mixed results, including a 3-0 win and some draws and losses. Real Sociedad have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, showing slightly more attacking output.
  • Historically, Real Sociedad lead in H2H with 14 wins to Valencia's 9, with 7 draws out of 30+ meetings, indicating a slight advantage for Sociedad overall. Recent H2H show mostly under 2.5 goals scored.
  • No specific injury information available from sources, so no major absences reported ahead of kickoff.
  • Match played at Mestalla gives Valencia a home advantage. No other significant external factors such as weather or schedule congestion noted.
  • As the first match of the season, both teams are motivated to start strongly to avoid early relegation threats given their low league positions last season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valencia 173, Draw 178, Real Sociedad 205 Real Sociedad ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Real Sociedad 0 105, Valencia 0 -125 Real Sociedad +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.75 -122, Under 1.75 102 Under 1.75 goals ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad 53%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Sociedad at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Sociedad moneyline win

Predicted Score: Real Sociedad 1 – 0 Valencia


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Valencia vs. Real Sociedad Prediction

Match Analysis: Valencia vs Real Sociedad – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 7:30 PM UTC Location: Mestalla, Valencia, Spain Game Overview This La Liga opening fixture features Valencia hosting Real Sociedad at Mestalla. Both teams have struggled recently, positioned 19th and 17th respectively in the league, with closely matched recent form and goal-scoring records. […]

August 16, 2025 Real Sociedad Soccer Valencia

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Alavés vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Levante in an opening La Liga clash where Alavés is slightly favored based on recent form and historical performance. Levante has struggled against Alavés historically and carries lower win probabilities according to available data.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés shows stronger recent form and home advantage with a higher expected win probability (~49.6%) versus Levante (~23.5%), while draws sit around 32%. Levante has been less consistent.
  • Alavés historically outperforms Levante, with previous meetings showing Alavés as favorites and stronger in direct confrontations.
  • No critical injury information available indicating major absences for either team, suggesting near full-strength squads.
  • No significant external disruptions such as travel fatigue or extreme weather reported for the match day.
  • Both teams start the season eager for points, but Alavés' home advantage and recent stability give them a motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.19, Levante: 2.65, Draw: 2.10 Alavés ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Alavés: -0.25 -115, Levante: +25 -105 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 2 – 1.05, Under: 2 – 1.25 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, and match finishing under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mallorca vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mallorca Home Stadium

Game Overview

Barcelona heads into this La Liga matchup as strong favorites due to dominant recent form and historically superior head-to-head results against Mallorca. Mallorca remains an underdog with long odds and less consistent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has won 16 of their last 18 La Liga matches and boasts 14 wins in their last 15 encounters with Mallorca across all competitions, indicating sustained dominance. Mallorca's recent form does not compare favorably.
  • Barcelona has a decisive edge historically, winning 14 of the last 15 matches versus Mallorca, suggesting tactical and squad quality superiority.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting Barcelona's lineup. Mallorca's injury situation is relatively stable, but given their underdog status, depth may be an issue.
  • Match at Mallorca's home venue may offer some slight home advantage, but Barcelona's superior quality likely outweighs this.
  • Barcelona is motivated to continue their strong start to the season and maintain momentum. Mallorca will aim to upset but faces a very challenging opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -199, Mallorca: 500, Draw: 355 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Barcelona: -1 -120, Mallorca: +1 100 Barcelona -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: 100 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win straight up with a handicap (-1) and a moderately high scoring game over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Opening week La Liga clash between Villarreal, favorites with stronger squad and better recent form, against Oviedo, a newly promoted team with limited pre-season preparation and offensive struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has demonstrated superior quality and consistency, backed by a 65.2% win probability from advanced simulations. Oviedo has had a short pre-season and scored just three goals in four friendlies, indicating offensive shortcomings.
  • Limited recent encounters as Oviedo is newly promoted; historical advantage decisively on Villarreal side.
  • No major Villarreal injuries reported; Oviedo likely cautious as they seek offensive reinforcements before window closes.
  • Match played at Villarreal's home, Estadio de la Cerámica, enhances home advantage; Oviedo's late pre-season may impair match fitness.
  • Villarreal motivated to start season strongly with home crowd, while Oviedo aims to avoid early deficits but may adopt conservative tactics.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -275, Oviedo +750, Draw +390 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Villarreal -1.25 at -120, Oviedo +1.25 at +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 at -115, Under 2.5 at -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win outright on the moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and under 2.5 goals for total match goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga season opener between Girona and Rayo Vallecano is expected to be a close contest, with Girona slightly favored. Girona recently added three loan players and promoted academy talents, but they face some injuries that impact midfield and attack. Rayo Vallecano have slightly lower chances based on recent predictive models but remain competitive at odds above 2.0. The match is poised to be tactically balanced with a modest goal output expected.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona showed resilience last season by avoiding relegation despite the challenge of Champions League play. This summer, they have a stable squad with slight reinforcements and won some pre-season friendlies against weaker teams but lost to stronger opposition. Rayo Vallecano have decent form but less predictive probability of winning, rated below Girona.
  • Historical stats and recent head-to-head data show Girona marginally ahead, with predictive simulations giving Girona a 43.6% win probability, Rayo Vallecano 30.0%, and draws at 26.5%. This suggests Girona have the slight upper hand at home.
  • Girona will be without Donny Van de Beek and Abel Ruiz due to injury, with Miguel Gutierrez questionable. These absences could weaken Girona's midfield creativity and attacking options, potentially reducing goal-scoring.
  • The game is at Girona's home ground, Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, offering home advantage. No notable external disruptions such as weather or scheduling pressure are indicated.
  • As season openers, both teams are motivated to start strongly, but Girona’s imperative to build on recent survival and Rayo Vallecano’s aim to establish themselves offer a balanced motivation aspect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona 1.31, Rayo Vallecano 2.20, Draw 2.25 Girona ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Girona -0.25 at 1.02, Rayo Vallecano +25 at 1.18 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 at 1.18, Under 2.25 at 1.02 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win the match outright with a narrow margin and total goals under 2.25

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga fixture between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona will take place at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. This is a crucial late-season match with Barcelona top of the table and Athletic Bilbao placed fourth, both teams looking to secure important points for their final standings. Barcelona arrives with a slightly better recent record but faces the challenge of an energetic and motivated Athletic Bilbao side playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown solid home form recently with three wins in their last five matches, including a 1-0 victory over Alaves. Barcelona's form has been mixed with two wins and two losses in their last five La Liga matches, demonstrating some inconsistency but still holding first place in the league.
  • In the current season, Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona have faced each other once before, with Barcelona maintaining a strong historical advantage in overall meetings. Home advantage could be significant for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés, but Barcelona typically poses a formidable challenge.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available from the sources, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this key fixture.
  • The match is the final game of the La Liga season, adding motivation for both teams. Barcelona aims to consolidate their title run, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to secure a Champions League qualification spot. The match location at San Mamés provides a passionate home crowd advantage for Athletic Bilbao.
  • Barcelona, leading the league, is motivated to seal the title with a win. Athletic Bilbao, in fourth place, is motivated to secure European qualification, making this game highly competitive and intense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 220, Barcelona: 110, Draw: 280 Barcelona Win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -102, Barcelona: -0.25 -118 Barcelona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -118, Under: 3 -102 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anticipating a tightly contested match, Barcelona is slightly favored due to overall quality and league standing, but Athletic Bilbao’s home advantage and motivation make a draw or narrow win for either side plausible. Expect both teams to play cautiously with chances to break through in key moments.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1 – 2 Barcelona


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Villarreal vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Villarreal and Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica is the final round fixture of the 2024-2025 season. Villarreal, currently 5th in the league with 67 points, hosts Sevilla, struggling in 16th place with 41 points. Villarreal has been in strong form at home this season, while Sevilla has been inconsistent, losing half of their last six matches. Both teams tend to score in their head-to-head meetings, making this an intriguing matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has won 20 out of 39 matches this season and remains unbeaten in their last 6 home matches against Sevilla across all competitions. In contrast, Sevilla has lost 50% of their recent 6 games and is fighting relegation pressure.
  • In the last 6 encounters, Villarreal and Sevilla have drawn 3 times, with all last 6 meetings featuring goals from both sides. Villarreal has never lost to Sevilla at home in the last 6 matches.
  • No specific injury details were available from the data, but lineups remain key to monitor closer to kickoff.
  • The venue favors Villarreal significantly as they are playing at home. Sevilla's lower league standing and recent form add pressure.
  • Villarreal likely aims to secure European qualification with a win and improve on their 5th place standing, while Sevilla fights to climb out of the relegation zone, increasing the stakes for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 475, Villarreal: -210, Draw: 390 Villarreal Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sevilla: 1.25 -120, Villarreal: -1.25 +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 +102 Over 3 Goals ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored to win given their home dominance, consistent recent form, and higher league standing, with an expected competitive scoreline due to Sevilla's tendency to score in head-to-head games.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Villarreal


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Girona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona and Atlético Madrid face off in the final match of La Liga's 2024-2025 season. Atlético Madrid is positioned third in the league, while Girona ranks fifteenth. The match is expected to be competitive, with Atlético Madrid favored to win due to their superior league position and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown strong form throughout the season, while Girona has been inconsistent. Girona's recent wins, however, indicate they can pose a threat at home.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid has had the upper hand in matches against Girona, though recent head-to-head data is limited.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this could impact the match if any key players are absent.
  • The match is at Girona's home ground, which might provide an advantage. However, Atlético Madrid's experience and skill level could counteract this.
  • Atlético Madrid may be motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Girona aims to end on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -110, Girona: 265, Draw: 290 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 -105, Girona: 50 -115 Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, given their league position and past performances against Girona.

Predicted Score: Girona 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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Getafe vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Spain

Game Overview

Getafe host Celta Vigo in a crucial late-season La Liga match. Both teams are likely fighting for safety or a midtable position, but recent data show Celta Vigo with a more favorable projection. Predictive analytics give Celta a higher win probability, while Getafe is less likely to win at home. Expect a tight contest with potentially low scoring given the stakes and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent data and predictive models show Celta Vigo with a stronger probability of winning, despite Getafe playing at home. Getafe have struggled for consistency, while Celta have shown enough to be considered favorites by both data and oddsmakers.
  • Recent head-to-head results show a fairly balanced record between both teams, with single-goal margins and draws not uncommon in past meetings. This suggests a closely fought match is likely.
  • No major injury news is highlighted for this specific match in available data. Updates should be monitored for last-minute changes.
  • The match is played at home for Getafe, which typically provides a boost, but projections and odds still favor Celta Vigo. No unusual weather or pitch conditions are expected.
  • Both teams are fighting for La Liga survival or to avoid relegation complications late in the season, likely increasing motivation and defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: -115, Getafe: 320, Draw: 265 Celta Vigo Moderate
Spread Celta Vigo: -0.5 -115, Getafe: 50 -105 Celta Vigo to cover -0.5 Moderate
Over/under Over: 2.25 -120, Under: 2.25 100 Under 2.25 goals Moderate-Low

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -100%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Celta Vigo at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo are the statistical and odds favorite to win this match, though a draw is also within a plausible range. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair with Celta more likely to edge it according to current data and simulations.

Predicted Score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Getafe


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Alavés vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (14th) hosts Osasuna (9th) in a La Liga match where both sides are in the lower middle section of the table. Osasuna is in better recent form, and their head-to-head record strongly favors them against Alavés. Alavés seeks to break a 10-game winless streak against Osasuna in La Liga, while Osasuna aims to maintain their dominance and secure a top-half finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna ranks higher (9th) and has shown better recent results compared to Alavés (14th). Osasuna likely has better squad depth and consistency this season.
  • Osasuna is unbeaten in the last 10 La Liga encounters against Alavés, indicating a clear psychological edge[4][5].
  • No major injury updates available from current sources. This field should be monitored for late updates.
  • No significant external factors reported; weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal for the time of year. Match is at home for Alavés.
  • Osasuna has more to gain with a top-half finish, while Alavés is expected to finish mid-table. Both teams are safe from relegation, but Osasuna has slightly more motivation for final standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 215, CA Osasuna: 135, Draw: 225 CA Osasuna ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés: 25 -120, CA Osasuna: -0.25 100 CA Osasuna (-0.25) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Osasuna is favored due to superior league position, head-to-head dominance, and better form. Alavés is the underdog at home, risking another loss to Osasuna.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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