Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs TSG Hoffenheim – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Game Overview
Union Berlin hosts TSG Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga match promising a tight, competitive contest where home advantage and recent form favor Union Berlin. Both teams have shown inconsistent defensive performance but decent attacking potential.
Key Factors to Consider
- Union Berlin won decisively at home against VfB Stuttgart and only recently lost away to Dortmund, indicating strong home form. Hoffenheim’s form is erratic, with a home loss to Eintracht Frankfurt and a surprise away win at Bayer Leverkusen.
- Past meetings suggest a close contest, with a tendency for low-to-moderate scoring games and balanced outcomes reflected in recent head-to-heads.
- No major injury absences reported for either side impacting key players, maintaining competitive lineups.
- Union Berlin benefits from playing at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, known for strong fan support, while Hoffenheim travel away, potentially impacting their performance.
- Both teams sit mid-table with identical points and will be motivated to secure early-season momentum; Union Berlin more driven to confirm home strength after a recent away loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Union Berlin +160, Draw +245, TSG Hoffenheim +164 | Union Berlin | ★★★☆☆ 65% | 
| Spread | Union Berlin 0 (-112), Hoffenheim 0 (-108) | Union Berlin 0 spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% | 
| Over/under | Over 2.5 (-115), Under 2.5 (-105) | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Union Berlin 25% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% | 
🔥 Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Union Berlin to win
Predicted Score: 2-1
 
    