Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin
Game Overview
Union Berlin and SC Freiburg are closely matched mid-table Bundesliga sides with Union having a slight home advantage and better recent H2H record. Both teams have inconsistent forms and moderate scoring rates, suggesting a tight game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Union Berlin have been inconsistent with mixed results but are unbeaten in their last seven home games against Freiburg. Freiburg is struggling with four winless games in the league, drawing three and losing their last. Both teams show recent midweek cup wins but uneven league form.
- Historically 14 meetings: Union Berlin leads with 7 wins versus Freiburg's 3, and 4 draws. Last season, Union was unbeaten at home in these fixtures, including a 0-0 draw and a 2-1 home win.
- No significant injuries reported affecting key players for either side, allowing both squads near full strength.
- Union Berlin's home advantage at An der Alten Forsterei is notable. Freiburg's involvement in multiple competitions may cause fatigue but was somewhat offset by midweek cup victory.
- Mid-table stability reduces pressure but both teams seek points to climb the table. Union's momentum in direct encounters may provide marginal psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 154 | Union Berlin | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | -122 | Union Berlin -0 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | -118 (Over), -102 (Under) | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Union Berlin 37% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Union Berlin to win on the moneyline, Under 2.25 goals total, and on the spread betting Union Berlin -0
Predicted Score: 1-0