Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Borussia Monchengladbach – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-17
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Game Overview
Union Berlin has been inconsistent this season but has shown some resilience at home, while Borussia Mönchengladbach is winless and struggling offensively. Union comes in as favorites, but neither team is in top form, suggesting a potentially low-scoring, nervy affair.
Key Factors to Consider
- Union Berlin sits 13th with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; Gladbach is winless (0-3-3) and has only scored 4 goals in 6 games. Union's home record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss (4:5 goal difference). Both teams have struggled to find consistency, with Union at least showing flashes of attacking threat, while Gladbach has been toothless.
- Berlin leads the H2H (12 meetings: 6 wins for Berlin, 3 for Gladbach, 3 draws). However, Gladbach won both meetings last season (1-0 at home, 2-1 away).
- No major injury concerns reported for either team based on confirmed lineups[1].
- No significant external factors (weather, suspensions, etc.) reported. Home advantage should favor Union Berlin, but their inconsistency tempers expectations.
- Union Berlin expected to be more motivated given their mid-table position and home support. Gladbach is desperate for a turnaround but currently lacks confidence and attacking chemistry.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | {Union Berlin +125, Borussia Mönchengladbach +225, Draw +253} | Union Berlin | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | {Borussia Mönchengladbach +25 -111, Union Berlin -0.25 -109} | Union Berlin -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | {Over 2.5 -118, Under 2.5 -102} | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Union Berlin 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Union Berlin is the more likely winner in a tight, low-scoring contest, but confidence is only moderate due to both teams' poor recent form.
Predicted Score: Union Berlin 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach