Match Analysis: Udinese vs Monza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine, Italy
Game Overview
This Serie A match between Udinese and Monza is expected to be a closely watched event due to the teams' contrasting league positions. Udinese, ranked 12th, faces Monza, which is currently in 20th position. Udinese seeks to secure a win to maintain its mid-table standing, while Monza hopes to gather points in its fight against relegation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Udinese has shown strength at home, with three wins in their last six Serie A home matches. However, they have struggled recently, managing only one win in their last eight games. Monza, on the other hand, has been struggling, especially away from home, with a 71% loss rate in away matches.
- In their past encounters, Udinese and Monza have drawn half of their matches. This trend could continue, but Udinese's home advantage is expected to play a significant role.
- No specific injury reports are available, but both teams will likely field their strongest lineups given the stakes.
- Weather conditions and fan support could influence the match, but the more significant factor will be the teams' motivation and strategy.
- Udinese aims to solidify its position in the league, while Monza is motivated to avoid relegation, making this a crucial encounter for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Udinese: -200, Monza: 525, Draw: 340 | Udinese Win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Udinese: -1 -122, Monza: 1 102 | Udinese Cover | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Udinese -16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Udinese's home advantage and Monza's poor away record, a win for Udinese seems most likely. However, both teams' recent performances suggest caution, and the head-to-head record suggests a possible draw.
Predicted Score: Udinese 1, Monza 0