Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stadium de Toulouse
Game Overview
Ligue 1 clash where Toulouse hosts Le Havre, with Toulouse favored at home given recent form and attacking prowess.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toulouse holds a solid home record with consistent goal scoring, especially scoring at least two goals in their last five home matches. Le Havre has good defensive form recently but struggles away and has not won against Toulouse in recent head-to-heads.
- Toulouse has dominated recent meetings, winning 2 out of 5 with Le Havre yet to win any. Toulouse is also more likely to secure narrow victories based on recent head-to-head results.
- Toulouse will miss defender Rasmus Nicolaisen (suspended) and midfielder Rafik Messali (ankle). Le Havre's only notable absentee is forward Ally Samatta. The absences slightly weaken Toulouseβs defense but Le Havre lacks firepower too.
- The match is at Toulouseβs home where they have strong support and good recent results. Public betting heavily favors Toulouse, indicating strong confidence from the market.
- Toulouse aims to bounce back from a slight dip by securing home victories to maintain momentum. Le Havre, coming off solid defensive wins, likely aims to frustrate but faces a tough road challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -134 (Toulouse), +365 (Le Havre), +260 (Draw) | Toulouse | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | -0.75 Toulouse -102, +75 Le Havre -118 | Toulouse -0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toulouse 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toulouse moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-0