Match Analysis: Tottenham Hotspur vs Wolverhampton Wanderers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Game Overview
Tottenham Hotspur hosts Wolverhampton Wanderers in an EPL match where Tottenham, currently 3rd in the table, are in strong form while Wolverhampton have yet to win this season and have struggled offensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tottenham has a strong start this season with a 3-1-1 record, exhibiting solid defense conceding only 3 goals so far. Wolves are 0-0-5 with 3 clean sheets but only 3 goals scored in total, indicating offensive struggles.
- Recent history favors Tottenham with Wolves having a poor record as underdogs (3-13-1 SU). Tottenham won 4-2 at Wolves earlier this year, showing attacking superiority.
- Tottenham has key players rested (Kudus and Romero), while Wolves lost standout attacker Matheus Cunha over the summer, weakening their attack significantly.
- Tottenham benefits from home advantage with a 1-0-1 home record and good ATS record at home. Wolves have failed to score in away league matches so far.
- Tottenham looks motivated to maintain their strong start and consolidate top-table position; Wolves are desperate for a first win but may struggle to break through Tottenham's improving defense.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tottenham Hotspur -210, Wolverhampton Wanderers +500, Draw +340 | Tottenham Hotspur | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 +127, Wolverhampton Wanderers +1.5 -170 | Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 | β β β ββ 67% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -146, Under 2.5 +110 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tottenham Hotspur -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham Hotspur to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread, and the match to go under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0