Match Analysis: Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Game Overview
Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea with both teams showing mixed recent form and Tottenham suffering key injuries at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tottenham are currently third in the league but have struggled at home with no wins in their last three home league fixtures. Chelsea have been inconsistent but managed to reach the Carabao Cup quarter-finals and have rested key players recently.
- Chelsea have dominated recent encounters with Tottenham, winning 12 of the last 13 league meetings, which indicates a psychological edge and tactical superiority.
- Tottenham are heavily impacted with 12 first-team players ruled out or doubtful, weakening their squad depth and options. Chelsea's injury situation is comparatively better, with key players available.
- Tottenham face a tough upcoming schedule including Manchester United, Arsenal, and PSG, possibly causing fatigue or tactical caution. Chelsea have more squad rotation flexibility.
- Tottenham are motivated to reverse their poor home form against Chelsea and solidify their league position, while Chelsea aim to maintain dominance and exploit Tottenhamβs injury crisis.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea: 147, Tottenham Hotspur: 165, Draw: 248 | Chelsea | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Chelsea -0.5: 142, Tottenham +50: -191 | Chelsea -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -144, Under 2.5: 108 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea 36% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Chelsea at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chelsea moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-2