Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 3, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: BMO Field
Game Overview
New England Revolution enters with strong defensive form (3 consecutive shutouts, 4-1-0 in last 5 matches), while Toronto FC struggles offensively (0 goals in last 3 home games). The Revs aim to reverse 2024's head-to-head results after dominating 2021-2023 meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Revs: Best defensive start in club history (7 GA in 9 games). TFC: 5 wins in last 30 league matches; under 2.5 goals in 5 straight.
- TFC won both 2024 meetings 1-0; Revs took 7/9 points from 2021-2023 away fixtures.
- No specific injury data provided in sources.
- Predicted weather: Mostly cloudy (52°F). Revs' recent success in Toronto minimizes travel concerns.
- Revs chasing 4th straight clean sheet; TFC desperate to end home scoring drought.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NE: 205, TFC: 130, Draw: 250 | New England Revolution | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | NE +25 (-118), TFC -0.25 (-102) | New England Revolution +0.25 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 (-122), Under 2.25 (+102) | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution 53% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: New England Revolution at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution win with under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1