Match Analysis: Torino vs Fiorentina – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Game Overview
Torino hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where Torino have shown defensive vulnerability early in the season, conceding multiple goals, while Fiorentina exhibit stronger offensive capabilities and recent unbeaten form against Torino.
Key Factors to Consider
- Torino started the season with a weak defensive record, allowing five goals against Milan and showing susceptibility against lower-ranked teams; Fiorentina remain solid offensively and undefeated in last six matches vs Torino, including three clean sheets.
- Fiorentina have the upper hand, going undefeated in the last six encounters (3 wins, 3 draws) against Torino and have established a psychological advantage.
- No critical injury updates were reported in available sources; both teams appear to have close to full squads.
- Match is at Torino's home ground with some home support advantage, but Torinoβs defensive issues may negate this benefit.
- Fiorentina aim to capitalize and continue their dominance over Torino; Torino motivated to defend home turf but recent form suggests limited confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +143 | Fiorentina | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Fiorentina 0 -145 | Fiorentina -0 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 -137 | Over 2 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fiorentina 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina moneyline win
Predicted Score: Torino 0 – 2 Fiorentina