Match Analysis: Torino vs Como – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin, Italy
Game Overview
Torino hosts Como in a Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Torino currently sits 12th in the league, while Como is in 7th place, making this a competitive mid-table encounter. Both teams have shown mixed form, with Torino struggling defensively and Como maintaining a solid away record. The match promises tactical intensity, with both sides aiming to climb the table.
Key Factors to Consider
- Torino has won 3, drawn 5, and lost 3 of their last 11 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 16. Como has won 4, drawn 6, and lost 1 in their last 11, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Como's defense is notably strong, while Torino has struggled to keep clean sheets. Torino's home win rate is 50% in their last 6 home games, while Como has drawn 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
- In the last 2 meetings, Torino and Como have each won once, with no draws. Historically, Torino has a slight edge, winning 3 of the last 6 encounters, with Como winning 1 and 2 draws. The most recent matches have been tightly contested, with low scoring and balanced results.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match will be played at Torino's home ground, which could provide a slight advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no significant impact anticipated.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points for their league positions. Torino aims to improve their defensive record and climb the table, while Como seeks to maintain their strong away form and challenge for a higher finish.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Como: 122, Torino: 245, Draw: 215 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Como: -0.25 -112, Torino: 25 -108 | Torino 0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 102, Under: 2.25 -122 | Under | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Como 26% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams capable of scoring. Torino's home advantage and recent form suggest a slight edge, but Como's solid defense and away record make them a tough opponent. A draw or a narrow win for Torino is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: 1-1