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Tondela vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela home stadium

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga matchup features Tondela hosting Famalicão. Famalicão currently leads the league and is in strong form, while Tondela has struggled recently but possesses some historical H2H edge at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches and leads the league. Tondela has a poor recent run with 1 win and 3 losses in last 5. Famalicão averages 3 goals scored and 0 conceded, showing strong offense and defense; Tondela scores 1.4 but concedes 1.2 goals per match.
  • Historically, the H2H is balanced with both teams having 3 wins each in their last 8 encounters. Home advantage boosts Tondela slightly at their stadium. Overall goals scored are even at 10-10 in recent contests.
  • No significant injury reports available; squads expected near full strength.
  • No adverse weather or unusual travel issues indicated. Famalicão benefits from momentum as league leaders and potential UEFA Champions League qualification motivation.
  • Famalicão has higher motivation to maintain top spot and secure Champions League access. Tondela must fight to improve points and avoid relegation battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão 1.27, Tondela 2.10, Draw 2.30 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Famalicão -0.25 (-102), Tondela +25 (-118) Famalicão -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-120), Under 2.25 (100) Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 48%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão to win on the moneyline and against the -0.25 spread with over 2.25 goals in the match expected.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Tondela vs. Famalicão Prediction

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Famalicão – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 2:30 PM UTC Location: Tondela home stadium Game Overview This Primeira Liga matchup features Tondela hosting Famalicão. Famalicão currently leads the league and is in strong form, while Tondela has struggled recently but possesses some historical H2H edge at home. Key Factors to […]

August 16, 2025 Famalicão Soccer Tondela

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

CF Estrela vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica is the clear favorite based on historical dominance and current form, facing CF Estrela Amadora who has never beaten them in the last 15 meetings. Benfica is competing for Champions League qualification and shows stronger offensive and defensive stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica ranks 11th, Estrela 9th; Benfica averages 2.36 goals scored per game and concedes 0.8, while Estrela averages 0.81 goals scored and concedes 1.46. Benfica has a longer winning streak and fewer losses recently.
  • In their last 20 meetings, Benfica won 18, Estrela none in the last 15 meetings. Benfica has scored 50 goals to Estrela's 11 overall historically.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting either side, both teams expected to field strong lineups.
  • Home advantage slightly favors Estrela, but they have limited success historically at home against Benfica. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Benfica has high motivation to secure points for Champions League qualification, Estrela is focused on mid-table stability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -550, CF Estrela 1200, Draw 575 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 105, CF Estrela +2 -125 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3 -108, Under 3 -112 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica moneyline win, -2 goal spread for Benfica, over 3 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Vitória SC vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitória SC Home Stadium

Game Overview

Vitória SC hosts Estoril in a crucial Primeira Liga matchup as both teams seek early season momentum, with Vitória SC eager to recover from a heavy opening loss and Estoril aiming for a second consecutive positive result.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC started the season poorly with a heavy defeat, showing offensive struggles but historically stronger at home. Estoril secured a point in their opener, demonstrating resilience but lacking winning form.
  • Vitória SC has a strong historical advantage over Estoril, including a recent win (1-0) in January 2025. The home team traditionally outperforms Estoril in these encounters.
  • No significant injury reports have emerged for either team; both expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • Match played at Vitória SC's home ground, providing home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal with no disruptions.
  • Vitória SC motivated to bounce back from a poor start and defend home turf. Estoril motivated to push for a first win and build on opening-day resilience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC -146, Draw 270, Estoril 405 Vitória SC ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Vitória SC -0.75 -110, Estoril +75 -110 Vitória SC -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win on moneyline, -0.75 spread for Vitória SC, and under 2.25 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD hosts Casa Pia in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash. Both teams have struggled recently, with AVS showing a worse recent form. Casa Pia has a slightly better recent win rate but carries defensive concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS is in poor form with only 1 win in last 10 games (10%), 7 losses. Casa Pia fared a bit better (30% wins) but also lost 60% of last 10 games. AVS’s defense is more vulnerable, conceding 48 goals this season vs Casa Pia's 34.
  • Recent H2H data shows mixed results; no clear dominance. Overall, the matches have been competitive with Casa Pia slightly favored in recent encounters.
  • No major injury updates found likely impacting starting lineups for either side.
  • Home advantage for AVS in a familiar stadium, but momentum and form favor Casa Pia marginally.
  • Casa Pia needs points to stabilize mid-table position; AVS fights to avoid relegation, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS Futebol SAD: 1.68, Casa Pia: 1.78, Draw: 2 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread AVS Futebol SAD: -115, Casa Pia: -105 Casa Pia +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, AVS -0 spread, under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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FC Porto vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-11
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Vitória SC in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match featuring a historically dominant Porto side versus a struggling Vitória SC currently in relegation danger.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto currently ranks 9th and have a strong home record with potent scoring ability, averaging over 2 goals per game in H2H. Vitória SC ranks 18th, struggling at the bottom and averaging under 1 goal with defensive frailties.
  • Porto has won 40 out of the last 48 meetings, scoring 109 goals to Vitória's 27. Historically dominant with a consistent winning percentage at home against Vitória SC.
  • No specific injury data available from search results; assume normal squad availability for both teams with no significant absences reported.
  • Playing at home gives Porto a strong advantage; Vitória SC faces relegation pressure but no travel fatigue or adverse conditions reported.
  • Porto likely motivated to secure early points and improve league position, while Vitória SC is under pressure to avoid relegation, potentially playing more cautiously.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Porto -179, Vitória SC 450, Draw 295 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread FC Porto -1 (-102), Vitória SC +1 (-118) FC Porto -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120), Under 2.5 (100) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Porto's dominant historical record, stronger squad, and home advantage, backing FC Porto to win straight on the moneyline offers the highest expected value.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Estoril vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-11
  • Time: 5:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Estrela Amadora in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga opener, with Estoril favored due to stronger recent form and dominant past H2H results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril finished last season strong and has won their last two encounters against Estrela decisively (4-0). They showed a solid mixed record in final pre-season matches. Estrela, conversely, struggled with form and offensive output, losing 4 out of 5 recent matches and scoring sparsely away last season.
  • Estoril dominated recent encounters, including a 4-0 win in the last meeting, indicating a psychological and tactical edge over Estrela Amadora.
  • No critical injury data reported; key players appear available for Estoril. No significant absences reported for Estrela.
  • The match is at Estoril's home ground, which has been a fortress for them and favors the home team advantage. No notable external disruptions or conditions.
  • Estoril seeks to continue their momentum into the new season, while Estrela aims to recover confidence after poor recent form and needs to improve their away struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estoril -115, Draw 250, Estrela 310 Estoril ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Estoril -0.5 -115, Estrela +50 -105 Estoril -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -125, Under 2.25 105 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril to win; Spread -0.5 for Estoril; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Moreirense FC vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Game Overview

This match features Moreirense FC hosting Alverca in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Moreirense have slightly weaker recent home form compared to Alverca's notable away form. Odds favor Moreirense but the visiting side has shown good away results. Expect a competitive match influenced by early-season form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense FC have a home win probability around 42%, but recent home performances show only a 20-40% form rate. Alverca's recent away form is stronger with approximately 60% form figures, indicating they travel well.
  • Recent data is very limited with no detailed head-to-head stats available, suggesting this matchup may be infrequent or recently elevated to the top division.
  • No current reports of significant injuries or suspensions for either side have been found, indicating both teams are likely at near full strength.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel strain detected. The match is early in the season and at a neutral time of year with no known disruptions.
  • Both teams seek strong starts; Moreirense have home advantage and will aim to assert dominance in front of their fans, while Alverca aims to capitalize on their good away performances and secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 1.11, Draw: 1.95, Alverca: 3 Moreirense FC ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Moreirense FC -0.25: -125, Alverca +25: 105 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moreirense FC to win on the moneyline, -0.25 on the spread for Moreirense, and under 2.25 goals for over/under.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Braga vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga

Game Overview

Opening match of the 2025-26 Portuguese Primeira Liga season, Braga hosts Tondela. Braga is a strong favorite given their dominant historical record and current strong form. Tondela has shown fighting spirit but historically struggles against Braga.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has won 4 of their last 5 matches and all 5 pre-season games, indicating strong momentum. Tondela showed some confidence with an away win in pre-season but has weaker league form historically.
  • In 16 meetings, Braga has won 13, Tondela 2, with one draw. The last league meeting in 2022 ended in a 1-0 Braga win. Braga dominates defensively and offensively in these matchups.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side that would impact starting lineups or key players.
  • Match played at Braga's home stadium, a venue where Braga has strong home records (only 3 losses in last 17 home league matches). Season opener motivation high for Braga to establish dominance early.
  • Braga aims to start the season strongly after good pre-season and Champions League qualifiers. Tondela seeks to build on pre-season confidence but faces a tough away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -285, Tondela: 750, Draw: 390 Braga ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Braga -1.25: -118, Tondela +1.25: -102 Braga -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win straight up; favoring a clear home victory with a margin given their strong historical dominance, home advantage, and form.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Famalicão vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Famalicão Home Stadium

Game Overview

A close matchup between mid-table Famalicão and higher-ranked Santa Clara in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with both teams showing solid but mixed recent form and a historically balanced head-to-head rivalry.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a home advantage with a slightly better recent form marked by a longer unbeaten streak, while Santa Clara holds a higher league position (5th vs 9th), though both have comparable offensive and defensive stats.
  • The teams are evenly matched historically with 18 meetings resulting in 8 wins for Famalicão, 9 wins for Santa Clara, and 1 draw. Matches tend to be competitive with average goals around 2.2 per game.
  • No significant injury reports noted for either side impacting key players, supporting a full-strength lineup for both teams.
  • No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather conditions are expected to materially affect the match outcome.
  • Santa Clara’s higher league ranking and desire to maintain a top-table position offers them strong motivation, whereas Famalicão aims to capitalize on home support to disrupt.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão 1.39, Santa Clara 2.05, Draw 2.12 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Famalicão -0.25 at 1.05, Santa Clara +25 at 80 Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 at 1.82, Under 2 at 2.02 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Famalicão to win; Spread: Famalicão -0.25; Over/Under 2 goals: Over

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arouca Home Stadium

Game Overview

This is an early season match in the Portugal Primeira Liga between Arouca, the home side, and newly promoted or lower table side AVS Futebol SAD. Both teams have shown relatively weak offensive production recently but Arouca carries a moderate home advantage and better historical results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a somewhat stronger recent form with more home wins, though scoring under 1.5 goals is common for them; AVS Futebol SAD has failed to win in 23 of their last 27 league games and frequently scores fewer than 1.5 goals.
  • Previous encounters favor Arouca slightly with historically better results and home advantage; Draw outcomes are relatively common based on close percentages but Arouca edges the likelihood to win at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would critically impact starting lineups or tactics.
  • No major external factors such as weather, travel fatigue, or schedule congestion appear relevant for this fixture.
  • Arouca is motivated to start the season strongly on home soil; AVS Futebol SAD may struggle with confidence given recent poor results but will seek an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -121, AVS Futebol SAD: 335, Draw: 250 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca -0.5: -120, AVS Futebol SAD +50: 100 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, with a confident expectation of a low-scoring game under 2.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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