Match Analysis: Tondela vs Estoril – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Tondela Home Stadium
Game Overview
Tondela hosts Estoril in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga fixture. Tondela has struggled significantly, remaining pointless with no goals scored so far, while Estoril holds a slight upper hand being positioned a few places above them and showing better form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tondela is bottom of the league with zero points and no goals scored in three matches, highlighting offensive struggles and poor form. Estoril has had mixed performances but clearly shows more resilience and scoring capability.
- Recent H2H data is limited but Estoril is favored against Tondela historically and given the current form differential, Estoril likely holds an advantage.
- No major injury information available, indicating both sides have reasonably full squads.
- Playing at home benefits Tondela, but their poor form likely offsets this advantage. No notable external disruptions reported.
- Both teams are motivated to improve early in the season; Tondela to avoid a disastrous start, Estoril to consolidate mid-table safety.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 195, away: 148, draw: 210 | Estoril | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Estoril: -132, Tondela: 111 | Estoril (0 spread) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Under 2.25 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Estoril 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Estoril at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Estoril to win on the moneyline with Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1