Match Analysis: Swansea City vs Hull City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, Wales
Game Overview
Swansea City, currently 7th in the Championship, hosts Hull City, positioned 17th. Swansea has shown stronger recent form with 3 wins in the last 5 matches compared to Hull's 2 wins and 1 draw. Swansea's offense averages 1.4 goals per match, while Hull scores 0.8 goals per match, indicating a notable attacking edge for the home team. Defensively, Swansea concedes fewer goals per game (0.4) than Hull (0.8).
Key Factors to Consider
- Swansea has an 80% Asian handicap win rate recently, reflecting strong form and solid defense. Hull's recent form is weaker with a 40% Asian handicap win rate and lower scoring output.
- Historically, Hull City leads with 9 wins over 22 matches versus Swansea’s 6, but in recent fixtures Swansea leads with 3 wins, 1 loss, and 2 draws in the last 6 meetings, suggesting momentum shift in Swansea's favor.
- No specific injury data provided, assume both teams near full strength given no major absences reported.
- Home advantage at Swansea.com Stadium likely benefits Swansea, who are playing at home crowd support and against a struggling away side.
- Swansea, sitting in the upper part of the table, will aim to consolidate their position and push for promotion spots, whereas Hull is currently in the relegation-threatened zone and under pressure but has shown inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Swansea City: -132, Hull City: 340, Draw: 245 | Swansea City | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Swansea City -0.5 -125, Hull City +50 +105 | Swansea City -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 +102 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Swansea City 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Swansea City to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0