Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Wolverhampton Wanderers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadium of Light
Game Overview
This English Premier League match features Sunderland, newly promoted but unbeaten at home, hosting Wolverhampton Wanderers, currently struggling in the bottom of the table. Sunderland have shown solid defensive form and have home advantage, while Wolves have started picking up points recently after a poor season start.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sunderland average 1.00 goals scored per game, conceding 0.86, showing good defensive stability and moderate offense. Wolverhampton score 0.71 goals per game but concede 2.00 on average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Sunderland sit 9th while Wolves are last with 2 points.
- Recent head-to-head is balanced historically but Wolves have dominated in past six meetings with four wins, Sunderland one win, and two draws. However, last Premier League meeting was in 2012, and Sunderlandβs home advantage is significant.
- No critical injury updates provided; both teams expected to field strong lineups as predicted.
- Sunderland play at home at the Stadium of Light where they remain unbeaten this season. Wolves face pressure to improve from bottom of the table. Weather or pitch conditions not disclosed as a factor.
- Sunderland motivated to maintain top half standing and home unbeaten record after recent loss, while Wolves aim to escape bottom position and build momentum following consecutive draws against strong opponents.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 142 / 210 / 199 | Sunderland | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Sunderland -0.5 @137 / Wolves +50 @-183 | Sunderland -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 @138 / Under 2.5 @-186 | Under 2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sunderland 33% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 -0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sunderland at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sunderland win moneyline, Sunderland -0.5 spread, Under 2.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 1-0