Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Aston Villa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadium of Light
Game Overview
Sunderland, newly promoted, have started the season strongly with solid home form and sit in the top six, while Aston Villa have struggled badly, failing to score in their last five Premier League games and sitting near the bottom of the table.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sunderland have won two home matches and drawn one overall this season, showing a strong defense and some attacking promise, particularly from Wilson Isidor. Aston Villa have failed to score in their last five league matches, showing a lack of offensive threat.
- Historically, Aston Villa hold the advantage with only one loss in the last 12 meetings vs Sunderland, but the last fixture was in 2018, reducing relevance. Sunderlandβs current home advantage and form shift the balance.
- No major injury news disclosed; however, Aston Villaβs offensive struggles hint at possible confidence or lineup issues affecting key attackers like Ollie Watkins.
- Sunderland benefit from strong home crowd support at Stadium of Light and momentum from recent results. Villa face growing pressure to end their goalless run and pick up points.
- Sunderland are motivated to continue their historic home winning streak and maintain their high league position. Aston Villa are desperate to break their scoring drought and avoid an extended slump.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Aston Villa: +111, Sunderland: +250, Draw: +222 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Aston Villa -0.5: +108, Sunderland +50: -143 | Sunderland +0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +116, Under 2.5: -154 | Under 2.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 45% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1