Match Analysis: Strasbourg vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, France
Game Overview
Strasbourg hosts Le Havre in a Ligue 1 fixture with Strasbourg favored due to superior recent form, home advantage, and stronger overall performance. Le Havre shows less consistency and limited away success.
Key Factors to Consider
- Strasbourg holds a 2-0-1 record overall with 6 points and strong home form (1-0-0). Le Havre is 1-0-2 with only 3 points and weaker away results (0-0-1). Strasbourg is unbeaten against the spread (ATS) at home while Le Havre shows mixed ATS performance.
- Recent matchups favor Strasbourg with a 54% win probability, Le Havre at 23%, and draws at 23%, consistent with available stats.
- No critical injury updates reported impacting starting lineups for either side.
- Match played at Strasbourgβs home stadium, giving them tactical and morale advantage. No major weather or external disruptions expected.
- Strasbourg motivated to capitalize on home advantage and maintain unbeaten start, while Le Havre aims to improve away form but with lower momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Strasbourg -163, Draw +315, Le Havre +395 | Strasbourg | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Strasbourg -0.75 -125, Le Havre +75 +105 | Strasbourg -0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 +100, Under 2.75 -120 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Strasbourg -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Strasbourg to win (moneyline), Strasbourg -0.75 on spread, Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0