Match Analysis: Stoke City vs Norwich City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: bet365 Stadium
Game Overview
Stoke City, currently 2nd in the Championship, host Norwich City, positioned 14th. Stoke have a stronger league standing and solid home form, while Norwich maintain an unbeaten streak in recent away games and hold a superior head-to-head record versus Stoke.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stoke have won 3 of their 5 home games this season but show inconsistency, alternating wins and losses recently. Norwich are unbeaten in 5 road outings across competitions and have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but sit just above relegation danger.
- Norwich have an unbeaten run of 9 games against Stoke in the Championship (6 wins, 3 draws), winning the last meeting 4-2. Overall, Norwich lead in H2H stats with 23 wins to Stoke's 21 across 63 meetings.
- No specific major injuries reported for either side that would decisively impact the match, suggesting near full-strength squads for both.
- The match is played at Stokeβs home ground with normal conditions expected, no significant external disruptions or weather effects reported.
- Stoke, as early title challengers, are motivated to maintain pressure on leaders Middlesbrough, while Norwich fight to climb from the lower mid-table and avoid slipping into relegation concern, suggesting intensity from both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Home: -102, Away: +240, Draw: +250 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Stoke -0.5: +102, Norwich +50: -122 | Norwich +0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 58% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1