Match Analysis: Stade de Reims vs Saint Etienne – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Auguste Delaune, Reims, France
Game Overview
The Ligue 1 clash between Stade de Reims and Saint Etienne is set to take place at Stade Auguste Delaune in Reims. Stade de Reims currently occupy 13th place in the table, whereas Saint Etienne sit at 17th, both teams facing pressure in the closing stages of the season. Reims have shown recent dominance at home with 3 consecutive wins over Saint Etienne by 2+ goals, but have otherwise struggled this season with only 3 wins in their last 20 league games. Saint Etienne have had difficulties on the road with a 75% loss rate in away matches. The teams have faced off once earlier this season with Reims leading their recent head-to-head record 50% wins in last 6 meetings. Matches involving Saint Etienne have tended to be high-scoring, with 60% of their last 10 away games featuring over 2.5 goals. Considering all data, a competitive match with goal-scoring opportunities is expected.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stade de Reims have a mixed season overall but boast strong home form against Saint Etienne, winning their last 3 home encounters against them by 2+ goals. However, in general league play, Reims have managed only 3 wins in their last 20 matches. Saint Etienne, meanwhile, have struggled significantly away from home with a 75% loss rate on the road and are fighting relegation danger.
- In the last 6 Ligue 1 head-to-head matchups, Stade de Reims have won half of the games. Reims have also won their last 3 home matches against Saint Etienne by a margin of 2 or more goals. Historically, Reims have controlled these fixtures, especially on home turf.
- No up-to-date or specific injury data was available in the current sources. Teams may have some typical squad rotation or minor injuries, but no major absences impacting predictions were noted.
- The match is played at Stade Auguste Delaune, giving Reims home advantage. There are no major external conditions (weather, schedule congestion) highlighted that would significantly affect performances. The timing late in the season may increase pressure for points, especially for Saint Etienne fighting relegation.
- Saint Etienne face relegation pressure and must seek points desperately, especially on a difficult away trip. Reims, mid-table but with recent dominance over Saint Etienne, have home advantage and motivation to consolidate their position and maintain recent form against this opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stade de Reims: 110, Saint Etienne: 220, Draw: 280 | Stade de Reims Win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Stade de Reims -0.25: -118, Saint Etienne +25: -102 | Stade de Reims -0.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 | Over 2.75 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stade de Reims 20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Stade de Reims at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on team form, historical results, and motivation, Stade de Reims are favored to win this encounter. The match is expected to have over 2.5 goals given Saint Etienne's recent involvement in high-scoring games and Reims' attacking home showings. The recommended prediction is a Stade de Reims win with a competitive scoreline.
Predicted Score: 2-1
