Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
Nashville SC (14-5-6) visits St. Louis City SC (4-6-14) in an MLS regular-season match. Nashville is stronger this season with better form and defensive stats, while St. Louis has struggled both offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville averages 1.12 goals/game with 1.59 conceded and holds a 23% win rate, significantly better than St. Louis with 0.75 points/game, -16 goal difference, and 1.67 goals conceded per game.
- Recent H2H data is limited; however, Nashville is generally the stronger side and currently priced as the favorite.
- No major injury reports available for either team at this time.
- Match played at St. Louis home ground CITYPARK, which may provide slight home advantage but St. Louis' poor defensive form diminishes this.
- Nashville is competing for a higher playoff position with stronger recent form, while St. Louis is struggling and looking to improve their performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC: 110, St. Louis City SC: 220, Draw: 270 | Nashville SC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Nashville SC -0.5: 105, St. Louis City SC +50: -139 | Nashville SC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 117 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Nashville SC 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC