Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-27
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Energizer Park, St. Louis, MO, USA
Game Overview
St. Louis City SC (4-6-13) and Minnesota United FC (11-8-5) face off with Minnesota as a clear favorite due to better league standing and form.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis ranks 28th with 18 points, poor offensive and defensive records (23 scored, 38 conceded). Minnesota is 8th with 41 points, better goal differential (40 scored, 27 conceded), and strong away form.
- Minnesota United won the last matchup 3-2, suggesting a psychological edge.
- No major injuries to starting goalkeepers Roman Burki (St. Louis) and Dayne St. Clair (Minnesota). No significant injury news impacting lineups.
- Match played at St. Louis' home ground, but poor home form limits home advantage. Weather and other external factors appear standard.
- St. Louis needs points desperately to avoid bottom, while Minnesota aims to consolidate playoff position, increasing their motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC 148, St. Louis City SC 168, Draw 250 | Minnesota United FC | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | Minnesota United FC -0.5 (140), St. Louis City SC +50 (-189) | Minnesota United FC -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-156), Under 2.5 (116) | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC 31% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Minnesota United FC at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota United to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and over 2.5 goals scored in total
Predicted Score: 1-2