Sporting Lisbon, currently leading the Primeira Liga, faces Famalicão, who are in 9th place. Sporting Lisbon has a strong home record and is favored to win.
Key Factors to Consider
Sporting Lisbon has been in solid form, with recent wins and draws, while Famalicão has had mixed results, including a recent away loss.
Sporting Lisbon has dominated past encounters, winning all five recent matches against Famalicão.
No specific injury reports are available for this match.
The match is at Sporting Lisbon's home ground, which could further boost their chances.
Sporting Lisbon is highly motivated to maintain their league lead, while Famalicão seeks to improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sporting Lisbon: -305, Draw: 400, Famalicão: 750
Sporting Lisbon
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Sporting Lisbon: -1.5 -102, Famalicão: 1.5 -118
Sporting Lisbon -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under
Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108
Over 2.75
★★★☆☆ 60%
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Lisbon is likely to win due to their strong home record and past performances against Famalicão.
Predicted Score: 3-0 in favor of Sporting Lisbon
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Sporting Lisbon vs. Famalicão Prediction
Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicão – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-15 Time: 8:30 PM UTC Location: Estádio José Alvalade Game Overview Sporting Lisbon, currently leading the Primeira Liga, faces Famalicão, who are in 9th place. Sporting Lisbon has a strong home record and is favored to win. Key Factors to Consider Sporting Lisbon has […]
Braga hosts Moreirense FC in a Primeira Liga clash with both teams looking to solidify their positions in the table. Braga, currently in strong form, faces a Moreirense side that sits in the top half but has struggled historically against their hosts. The match promises to be a test of Braga's attacking prowess and Moreirense's defensive resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
Braga has been in excellent form, winning 13 of their last 14 matches against Moreirense and scoring at least 2 goals in 12 of those games. They have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches and have not lost to Moreirense in their last 11 meetings. Moreirense, while in 5th place, has not kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches and has struggled to score consistently, averaging 1.25 goals per game in their recent H2H meetings.
Braga dominates the head-to-head record, with 18 wins in the last 23 meetings, Moreirense winning only 2, and 3 draws. In the last 11 encounters, Braga has won all 11, scoring at least 2 goals in 10 of those matches. The average goals scored by Braga in these meetings is 2.5, while Moreirense averages 1.25.
Braga will be without Jonatas Noro due to injury. Moreirense has no reported unavailable players for this match.
The match will be played at Estádio Municipal de Braga, where Braga has a strong home record. The weather is expected to be clear, with no significant impact on play. The referee's style and crowd support may also influence the game, but there are no major external disruptions expected.
Braga is motivated to maintain their strong form and push for a top position in the league. Moreirense, currently in 5th, will be looking to secure points to stay in the top half, but their historical struggles against Braga may affect their confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Braga: -265, Moreirense FC: 700, Draw: 375
Braga
★★★★★ 90%
Spread
Braga: -1.25, Moreirense FC: 1.25
Braga -1.25
★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under
Over: 2.75, Under: 2.75
Over 2.75
★★★★☆ 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Braga 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 29%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Braga is heavily favored to win this match, given their dominant head-to-head record and recent form. Moreirense's lack of clean sheets and Braga's strong attacking record suggest a high-scoring game. The most likely outcome is a Braga victory with both teams scoring.
Benfica hosts Casa Pia in a Liga Portugal clash at Estádio da Luz. Benfica is a dominant force in the league and historically has had a strong record against Casa Pia, especially at home. Casa Pia, while showing some resilience away, has struggled defensively and faces a tough challenge against a Benfica side looking to maintain their position at the top of the table.
Key Factors to Consider
Benfica is in mixed form but has won two home games recently and boasts a strong attacking record, scoring 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Casa Pia is also in mixed form, with defensive vulnerabilities highlighted by a recent 5-3 loss to Estrela da Amadora. Casa Pia has won two away games but has struggled against top-tier opposition.
Benfica has dominated the head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings, with 1 draw and 1 win for Casa Pia. Benfica has a 67% win rate in Liga Portugal encounters against Casa Pia, scoring 1.67 goals per game and allowing only 0.67 on average. Casa Pia has not won any of their last five matches against Benfica.
Benfica will be without Nicolás Otamendi (suspension), Alexander Bah (injury), Manu Silva (injury), and Bruma (injury). Casa Pia will be missing Claudio Mendes (injury) and Kiki (injury), which could further impact their defensive stability.
Benfica’s home advantage at Estádio da Luz is significant, and their recent form at home, combined with Casa Pia’s defensive issues, increases the likelihood of a Benfica win. Casa Pia’s injuries and defensive record make them vulnerable, especially against a strong attacking side like Benfica.
Benfica is motivated to maintain their position at the top of the league and secure a win against a struggling Casa Pia. Casa Pia is fighting to avoid relegation and will be looking to improve their defensive record, but their motivation may not be enough to overcome Benfica’s dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -675, away: 1400, draw: 675
Benfica
★★★★★ 90%
Spread
home: -2 -112, away: 2 -108
Benfica -2
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
over: 3 -112, under: 3 -108
Over
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Benfica -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 23%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica is expected to win this match, given their strong home form, historical dominance over Casa Pia, and Casa Pia’s defensive weaknesses. The most likely outcome is a Benfica victory, with a high probability of a multi-goal margin.
Location: Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal
Game Overview
The match between Famalicão and FC Porto is a Primeira Liga fixture where the home side Famalicão ranks 6th while FC Porto currently leads the league in 1st place. FC Porto are favorites given their top form and standing but Famalicão have demonstrated solid home performances and tactical resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
Famalicão has been stable, showing an ability to grind results with recent form including wins against Vitória SC and draws against teams like Arouca. FC Porto shows dominant offensive and defensive form with strong results in domestic league and Europa League, highlighted by recent victories over Moreirense and a strong away record.
Historically, FC Porto has dominated encounters with Famalicão, winning 11 of 14 recent meetings, with just 2 draws and only 1 win for Famalicão, suggesting a strong psychological and tactical edge for Porto.
No critical injury information was reported in the latest available data for either team, indicating both squads are close to full strength.
The match is played at Famalicão’s home ground, which could enhance their motivation and performance. Weather and pitch conditions are not specifically noted but presumed standard for the region and time of year.
FC Porto aims to maintain their top league position and continue their strong season momentum. Famalicão, positioned mid-table, will seek to upset the leaders at home to improve their standing and morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Famalicão: 425, FC Porto: -163, Draw: 295
FC Porto win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Famalicão +75: 105, FC Porto -0.75: -125
FC Porto -0.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Porto 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Porto at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto are likely to win given their superior form, head to head advantage, and league standing. A close match is expected, but Porto’s quality should prevail.
CF Estrela Amadora, currently near the bottom of the Primeira Liga standings, faces CD Nacional, a mid-table team, in a match held at Estádio José Gomes. Estrela Amadora is struggling with form, having not won in their last 5 matches and conceding 41 goals in 27 league games, while Nacional has a slightly better record and a marginally favorable goal difference. Both teams have been inconsistent recently, but Nacional has a historical edge in scoring frequency and results against Estrela Amadora.
Key Factors to Consider
Estrela Amadora is 15th in the league with 23 points from 27 games, scoring 21 goals and conceding 41, struggling offensively and defensively. They have a recent run of 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5. Nacional is 11th with 29 points, scoring 26 and conceding 37 goals, with a pattern of mixed wins and losses (LWLWL). Nacional's scoring ability is superior, especially in the 31-45 minute range where they score 38% of their goals, compared to Estrela's 24%.
In the last 5 meetings between the two clubs, Nacional has won 2 times, Estrela has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The overall goal difference is slightly in favor of Nacional (5-4). This suggests a fairly balanced rivalry but with a moderate edge to Nacional based on scoring and results.
No specific injury data was available from the sources. Both teams presumably field close to their regular starting lineups.
The game is played at Estrela Amadora’s home ground, Estádio José Gomes, which typically benefits the home side. However, Estrela's poor recent form at home may reduce this advantage. Weather or pitch conditions and potential fan attendance impact were not specified.
Estrela Amadora, positioned near the relegation zone, will be highly motivated to gain points to improve their standings. Nacional, sitting mid-table, may target consolidating their position rather than taking excessive risks, possibly aiming for a secure away point.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
CF Estrela: 178, Nacional: 162, Draw: 212
Nacional to win
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
CF Estrela: 50, Nacional: 50
Nacional -0 (Draw No Bet)
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Nacional 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is likely to be close with a slight edge to Nacional due to superior recent form, goal-scoring stats, and a balanced historical record. The expectation is a low-scoring game with a tight margin, potentially ending in a draw or a narrow away win.
Location: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal
Game Overview
AVS Futebol SAD will host Gil Vicente in a Liga Portugal Primeira match at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves. Gil Vicente currently ranks 4th in the league with strong home and away performances, while AVS Futebol SAD is struggling near the bottom in 18th place. Recent head-to-head encounters are balanced at 1 win each, with no draws.
Key Factors to Consider
Gil Vicente has been in strong form, winning 6 of their last 7 league matches and keeping 7 clean sheets in their last 8 games. In contrast, AVS Futebol SAD has scored 7 goals but conceded 24 in the league so far, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
The recent head-to-head record between AVS Futebol SAD and Gil Vicente is evenly poised with one win apiece and no draws in their past meetings, illustrating competitive but balanced encounters.
No specific injury or suspension updates are available at this time; latest lineups and updates will be confirmed closer to the match.
The game will take place at AVS Futebol SAD’s home ground, which may provide a modest home advantage despite their lower league standing. Weather and pitch conditions information are currently not specified.
Gil Vicente's recent strong league standing and run of form provide high motivation to maintain momentum. AVS Futebol SAD, positioned in the relegation zone, will be motivated to secure points to improve their survival chances.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
AVS Futebol SAD: 395, Gil Vicente: -136, Draw: 250
Gil Vicente win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
AVS Futebol SAD: 75 -120, Gil Vicente: -0.75 100
Gil Vicente -0.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gil Vicente 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente is favored to win due to their superior form, defensive solidity, and higher league position, though AVS Futebol SAD’s home advantage and previous head-to-head results suggest a competitive match.
Santa Clara hosts Sporting Lisbon in the Portugal Primeira Liga Round 11 match. Sporting Lisbon enters as the clear favorite given their dominant historical and recent form. Santa Clara has struggled historically against Sporting and recently on home ground, whereas Sporting has shown strong away form and consistent performance in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
Sporting Lisbon is unbeaten in their latest Liga Portugal runs with 3 wins and 1 loss overall, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game and conceding 0.6 recently. Santa Clara has underperformed with 0 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 matches, scoring under 1 goal per game and conceding over 0.7 goals per match on average at home.
In 14 meetings since 2018, Sporting Lisbon leads with 12 wins against Santa Clara's 2, no draws. Sporting averages 2 goals scored per game and concedes 0.71; Santa Clara averages 0.71 goals scored with 2 goals conceded. Their dominance is clear across multiple seasons.
Santa Clara will miss Pedro Pacheco due to injury. Sporting Lisbon is without Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos, both injured. These absences marginally impact squad depth but Sporting maintains stronger overall quality.
Match venue is Estádio de São Miguel, Santa Clara's home ground, but home advantage seems limited given team form and head to head disadvantage. No notable weather or external disruptions reported. Motivational factors such as league positioning favor Sporting who pursue top table consistency.
Sporting Lisbon seeks to maintain their unbeaten run and strengthen title contention. Santa Clara aims to improve league standing and break poor streaks versus Sporting at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Santa Clara: 700, Sporting Lisbon: -240, Draw: 330
Sporting Lisbon win
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Santa Clara: 1.25 -128, Sporting Lisbon: -1.25 108
Sporting Lisbon -1.25
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over: 2.25 -122, Under: 2.25 102
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sporting Lisbon -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 21%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Lisbon to win, likely with a clean sheet given Santa Clara's defensive vulnerabilities at home and Sporting's efficient offense.
This Primeira Liga match features Tondela hosting Vitória SC. Tondela currently displays weaker form with no wins in their last three matches, while Vitória SC has mixed form with only one away win in recent games. Historically, Vitória SC holds a better head-to-head record but both teams have shown competitive encounters. The match is expected to be tightly contested with modest goal scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
Tondela has lost all their last three league matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.9 per game at home. Vitória SC shows mixed form with only one away win recently and averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Both teams have struggled offensively but Vitória SC tends to have a slightly stronger defense.
In 18 past meetings, Vitória SC leads with 9 wins to Tondela's 6, with 3 draws. Vitória SC averages 1.44 goals per game compared to Tondela's 0.94. Tondela has managed some wins historically at home but Vitória SC generally outperforms in overall H2H stats.
No explicit injury information is available from the current data, indicating no major absences reported for either team ahead of the fixture.
The match will be played at Tondela’s home ground. Weather or other conditions are not specified. Motivation might be influenced by league standings as Vitória SC is mid-table, whereas Tondela struggles near the bottom.
Vitória SC, sitting in 11th place, will aim to improve away results to climb the table; Tondela, with a longer winless run, will be motivated to secure points at home to avoid slipping further.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Tondela: 1.88, Vitória SC: 1.51, Draw: 2.15
Vitória SC win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Tondela: 1.08, Vitória SC: 1.28
Vitória SC 0 spread (pick'em line) favor
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.25 goals: 1.02, Under 2.25 goals: 1.18
Under 2.25 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vitória SC 26%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 29%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering form, head-to-head, and current odds, Vitória SC is favored for a narrow away win or draw, while Tondela’s home advantage and historical competitiveness play a role. A low-scoring game with Vitória SC edging out or a draw is most probable.
Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo, Portugal
Game Overview
The match between Alverca and Rio Ave FC is a Portuguese Primeira Liga clash scheduled for November 8, 2025, at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Both teams have displayed mixed form in recent fixtures, with Rio Ave showing somewhat more stability defensively but Alverca holding a slight advantage in their historical direct encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
Alverca has recorded mixed results recently, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per home match while conceding 2.5, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Rio Ave has better defensive figures conceding 1.8 goals per match but scoring fewer goals overall, with recent results including draws and some losses. Rio Ave won 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas Alverca won 2 and drew 2, showing both teams have room for improvement offensively and defensively.
Historically, the teams have played 3 matches since 2003; Alverca won 2, Rio Ave won 1, with no draws. Alverca has the slight psychological edge, but recent forms suggest Rio Ave may be better positioned. Their head-to-head matches have featured low scoring, with Alverca averaging 1 goal per game and conceding slightly more.
No specific injury data is available for key players from either team in the sources. Hence, the teams are assumed to be near full strength or no impactful player absences have been reported.
The match is played at Alverca's home ground, which could provide some home advantage. The kickoff time and weather or pitch conditions have not been indicated but presumed standard for November in Portugal.
Both teams are mid-table contenders aiming to improve their standing. Rio Ave appears slightly more motivated given recent better form and consistency in results compared to Alverca. Alverca might look to leverage home advantage to secure important points.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Alverca 32%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is predicted to end in a narrow victory for Alverca due to their home advantage and slight historical advantage, but Rio Ave’s form suggests a close contest possibly decided by a single goal.
Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal
Game Overview
Estoril Praia hosts Arouca in a Primeira Liga clash at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Estoril comes into the match off a convincing 4-1 win, ending a four-match winless run, but their home form remains inconsistent with just one home victory this season. Arouca has lost their last two league outings and is struggling for consistency, having picked up only 9 points from 10 matches. Both teams are mid-table, with Estoril on 10 points and Arouca on 9. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides seeking to improve their league position.
Key Factors to Consider
Estoril Praia has shown signs of improvement after a strong win last weekend, scoring 4 goals and keeping their first clean sheet of the season. Their attack has registered 15 goals in 10 matches, but their defense has conceded 14, indicating vulnerability. Home form is a concern, with only one win at the Coimbra da Mota this season. Arouca has lost their last two league games and has struggled defensively, conceding 15 goals in 10 matches. Their attack has been inconsistent, with only 12 goals scored. Both teams have shown flashes of form but lack consistency.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Estoril Praia has won 5 times, Arouca has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent meeting was a 4-1 win for Estoril Praia in March 2025. Estoril has a slight edge in recent encounters, but the rivalry is closely contested.
No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either team ahead of the match.
The match is being played at Estoril's home ground, which has seen limited success for the hosts this season. The weather is expected to be mild with no adverse conditions affecting play. The referee for the match is Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues.
Both teams are motivated to climb the league table and improve their mid-table status. Estoril Praia will be looking to build on their recent win and secure consecutive victories for the first time this season. Arouca is eager to bounce back from two consecutive losses and regain confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 101, draw: 265, away: 245
Estoril Praia to win
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
home: -0.5, away: 50
Estoril Praia -0.5
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
over: -108, under: -112
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Estoril -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having shown vulnerability in defense. Estoril Praia's recent form and home advantage give them a slight edge, but Arouca's attacking threat cannot be discounted. A draw or a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.
