Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 12:45 AM UTC
- Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS
Game Overview
San Diego FC visits Sporting Kansas City in a MLS regular season match with San Diego currently the clear favorites based on form and odds, but playing away from home at a venue where Sporting KC traditionally defends tightly.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego FC boasts a strong record (14-4-7) with solid recent form, averaging better points and defensive stability, whereas Sporting KC struggles (6-6-12) with a poor goal difference (-9) and a leaky defense conceding 1.88 goals per 90 minutes.
- Historical data and H2H is limited but trends indicate San Diego has upper hand recently against Sporting KC, supported by higher energy and better consistency.
- No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting the starting line-ups materially; expected goalkeepers are John Pulskamp (SKC) and Pablo Sisniega (San Diego).
- Home advantage for Sporting KC is notable but currently mitigated by their defensive frailties. Weather and travel are typical for MLS mid-summer with no exceptional impacts noted.
- San Diego fights for better positioning with a strong incentive to maintain winning momentum; Sporting KC looks for points but motivation might be lower due to their mid-table standing and inconsistent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego FC: -102, Sporting Kansas City: 238, Draw: 285 | San Diego FC | β β β β β 76% |
Spread | San Diego FC: -0.5 -106, Sporting Kansas City: +50 -125 | San Diego FC -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over: 3.5 115, Under: 3.5 -154 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego FC 29% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Diego FC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego FC win
Predicted Score: San Diego FC 2 – 1 Sporting Kansas City