Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, USA
Game Overview
The match between Sporting Kansas City and New England Revolution is set for May 25, 2025, at Children's Mercy Park. New England Revolution enters with strong defensive form, currently on a six-game unbeaten streak in MLS (4-0-2) including five shutouts. Sporting Kansas City is ranked 13th while New England is 10th in the league standings. The Revs have had recent success historically in this fixture and especially on the road, going unbeaten in their last four matches at Children's Mercy Park. Weather is expected to be rainy with temperatures around 66°F, which could impact gameplay.
Key Factors to Consider
- New England Revolution have been defensively dominant this season, conceding only 10 goals in 12 matches and maintaining five shutouts in their last six league games. Sporting Kansas City is struggling comparatively, positioned lower in the standings and coming off inconsistent results. New England's defense and unbeaten streak provide a strong foundation, whereas Sporting Kansas City will look to leverage home advantage.
- Historically, New England Revolution holds an advantage over Sporting Kansas City, with a 7-2-1 record in their last 10 meetings since 2014. In their last four matches, New England has a 3-0-1 record against Sporting KC, and on the latter's ground, the Revs have gone 2-1-1, showing an edge even away.
- No significant injury updates have been reported for either team just prior to the game, though New England fielded a rotated squad in their recent US Open Cup loss, indicating possible squad depth utilization. Sporting Kansas City does not have major known absences affecting their starting XI.
- Weather forecast predicts showers with a high of 66°F which may slow the pace of the game and affect ball control for both sides. The match is televised on MLS Season Pass and will have radio coverage, showing good fan engagement. The Revs' recent travel and game schedule including a midweek cup game could impact their energy levels.
- New England is motivated to maintain their unbeaten MLS run and capitalize on their defensive strength, while Sporting Kansas City is eager for home success and to improve their standing. The historical edge and current form favor New England’s motivation, though home advantage could inspire Sporting KC.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution: 210, Sporting Kansas City: 119, Draw: 255 | Sporting Kansas City win | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | New England Revolution +50: -152, Sporting Kansas City -0.5: 113 | Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -141, Under 2.5: 105 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Kansas City 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given New England Revolution's superior form, strong defense, positive head-to-head results, and Sporting Kansas City's lower league standing, the prediction favors a New England Revolution win or at least a draw. The game is expected to be low scoring due to New England's defensive solidity and weather conditions.
Predicted Score: Sporting Kansas City 1 – 1 New England Revolution