Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-26
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Game Overview
Sporting Kansas City hosts Charlotte FC in an MLS regular season match. Sporting KC currently sits 13th in the Western Conference with a 4-10-4 record, showing some improvement from a tough start but still struggling defensively with 35 goals conceded. Charlotte FC is 9th in the Eastern Conference with an 8-9-1 record, but they are in poor form, having lost seven of their last nine matches and conceding multiple goals in most recent games. This will be the first MLS league meeting between the two sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sporting KC has been inconsistent at home but recently won 2 of their last 5 home matches, managing some recovery after a poor start. Charlotte FC opened strong this season but have seen a sharp decline, losing five straight and seven of nine since late April. Charlotte concedes late goals frequently and struggles away, earning just 7 points from 10 away matches in 2025.
- No previous MLS league meetings between Sporting Kansas City and Charlotte FC, making this a first-time MLS encounter between these clubs.
- No specific injury updates available from current data sources, but team fitness and squad availability could impact lineups closer to matchday.
- Sporting KC benefits from home advantage at Children's Mercy Park. Charlotte FC is under pressure after a poor run and must cope with a demanding away schedule with five consecutive away fixtures.
- Both teams need points badly—Sporting KC to climb out of the bottom of the Western Conference, and Charlotte to halt their downward trend and re-enter playoff contention in the East. Charlotte’s recent poor form puts added pressure on coach Dean Smith, potentially motivating a tactical rethink.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC: 155, Sporting Kansas City: 160, Draw: 270 | Sporting Kansas City Win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Charlotte FC: -112, Sporting Kansas City: -108, Spread_Line: 0 | Sporting Kansas City +0 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 | Under 3 Goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Kansas City 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tight contest likely, with Sporting Kansas City favored slightly due to home advantage and Charlotte’s poor recent form on the road. Expect a low- to medium-scoring game with potential for a draw or narrow home win.
Predicted Score: 1-1