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Sporting Cristal vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

The Copa Libertadores Group G encounter between Sporting Cristal and Cerro Porteño is crucial for both teams as they vie for the top two qualifying spots. Sporting Cristal, currently 4th in the group, and Cerro Porteño, 2nd place, face off at Sporting Cristal's home ground. Cerro Porteño holds a slight edge in group standings and overall offensive stats, but Sporting Cristal’s home advantage and recent form add complexity to the prediction.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Cristal has scored 4 goals and conceded 8 in the group stage, with 0 clean sheets and 12 shots on goal. Cerro Porteño has 6 goals for and 8 against, with 2 clean sheets and 18 shots on goal, indicating a stronger offensive presence and slightly better defensive record.
  • This season, the teams met once, with Cerro Porteño hosting Sporting Cristal. That match ended with a 3-2 win for Cerro Porteño, showcasing competitive and close scoring exchanges. Historical matches indicate a tightly matched rivalry.
  • No specific injury data available, suggesting squads may be near full strength or no major absences have been reported ahead of this fixture.
  • Match is played at Estadio Alberto Gallardo in Lima, Peru, giving Sporting Cristal home advantage which can be significant in Libertadores fixtures. Travel and altitude may affect Cerro Porteño. Financial incentives and progression stakes in group stage are high, impacting team motivation.
  • Both teams are motivated by the need to secure top two group positions and advance to the Libertadores Round of 16. Cerro Porteño aims to consolidate their 2nd place, while Sporting Cristal needs points to improve standing, intensifying their effort.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Cristal: 155, Cerro Porteño: 170, Draw: 215 Sporting Cristal to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Sporting Cristal: -120, Cerro Porteño: -110 Sporting Cristal +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Cristal 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight advantage to Sporting Cristal due to home advantage and desperation for points. A draw or narrow home win is most probable, considering the teams’ evenly matched capabilities and previous encounters.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Sporting Cristal vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-14 Time: 12:30 AM UTC Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru Game Overview The Copa Libertadores Group G encounter between Sporting Cristal and Cerro Porteño is crucial for both teams as they vie for the top two qualifying spots. Sporting Cristal, currently 4th […]

Cerro Porteño May 14, 2025 Soccer Sporting Cristal

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Internacional-RS vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional-RS vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

A tightly contested Copa Libertadores Round of 16 second-leg match between Internacional-RS and Flamengo-RJ, both strong Brazilian clubs battling for continental progression.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional are in solid recent form with a 3-1 away win against Red Bull Bragantino showing attacking promise, while Flamengo have maintained strong home performance and recent Serie A success including a 2-1 win over Mirassol.
  • Recent encounters suggest a competitive balance with Flamengo winning the first leg 2-0 at Maracanã and previous league matches showing close scorelines such as a 1-1 draw.
  • No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either side that would severely impact starting lineups, indicating close to full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Internacional's home ground offers them slight advantage, though Flamengo’s confidence from first leg away win and experienced squad slightly offsets this factor.
  • Both sides are highly motivated: Flamengo to defend their first leg lead and Internacional to overturn the deficit on home soil in knockout competition context.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +165 Flamengo-RJ ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Flamengo-RJ 0 -140 Flamengo-RJ -0 spread (win straight) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals -150 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo-RJ at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo moneyline (away win)

Predicted Score: 1-2 Flamengo-RJ


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Estudiantes La Plata vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estudiantes La Plata vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata, Argentina

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores Round of 16 second leg features Estudiantes La Plata hosting Cerro Porteño with Estudiantes holding a narrow advantage from the first leg. The tie is balanced but Estudiantes have home advantage and recent form suggesting slight edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estudiantes are unbeaten in their last five home games, securing four wins and three clean sheets. They also have solid Copa Libertadores form with 4 wins, no draws, and 2 losses in six group games. Cerro Porteño have struggled defensively in the Libertadores, conceding 11 goals in 6 matches and losing 3 times.
  • In four Libertadores meetings, Estudiantes won once, two draws, and minimal goals scored overall. The previous leg ended with Estudiantes winning narrowly away 1-0, indicating a tight matchup historically and currently.
  • Estudiantes miss Joaquín Tobio Burgos (pelvic), Gabriel Neves (muscle), and Ezequiel Piovi (knee), impacting squad depth. Cerro Porteño's injury situation is less clear from available data but no major absences noted.
  • Estudiantes benefit from home support and familiarity with Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Cerro Porteño will face travel and hostile atmosphere, which historically favors home team in Libertadores knockouts.
  • Estudiantes motivated to consolidate aggregate lead and progress in Libertadores; recent league defeat may heighten focus. Cerro Porteño motivated to overturn deficit, but defensive frailties and away challenge limit their confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -148 Estudiantes ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -0.75 -125 Estudiantes -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -140 / Under 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estudiantes La Plata 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estudiantes Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sao Paulo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Game Overview

The round of 16 Copa Libertadores clash between São Paulo and Atlético Nacional is a tightly poised fixture with São Paulo as slight favorites. Both teams come into the game on recent wins and solid group stage form, but the match's knockout nature and Atlético Nacional's home advantage add complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo finished top of their group with 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goals. Atlético Nacional had 3 wins but 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 6, showing vulnerability but strong enough form at home.
  • Historically, the matchup has been balanced with close scorelines. Recent data suggest tight contests with likelihood of a draw or narrow win for either side.
  • No major injury news reported for either team impacting key starters, suggesting both teams can field their strongest lineups.
  • Match played at Atlético Nacional's home ground in Medellín, giving them altitude and fan support advantage. Weather and pitch condition expected to be typical with no disruptions.
  • São Paulo aims to secure an away win or draw with goals to ease second leg. Atlético Nacional highly motivated to leverage home advantage and start with an assertive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -122 São Paulo ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread -130 São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under -115 / -113 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 120%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Racing Club vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Racing Club vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón (Racing Club's home)

Game Overview

A crucial Copa Libertadores match where Racing Club hosts Peñarol Montevideo. Both teams show contrasting recent forms and stats, with Racing favored at home by bookmakers but Peñarol boasting solid away defensive resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Racing Club is strong at home and favored by odds (-162 moneyline), but has shown some inconsistency lately. Peñarol has exceptional home form historically but is less dominant away and has scored few goals on the road recently.
  • Recent head-to-head fixtures show tight contests; previous match at Penarol's home ended 1-0 to Penarol, highlighting the defensive solidity and low scoring tendency in matchups.
  • Racing Club may be missing defender Germán Pezzella, weakening their backline. Peñarol has no significant injury concerns reported.
  • Travel fatigue for Peñarol may slightly reduce their away performance. The match's continental importance increases motivation for both sides.
  • Racing Club, playing at home, is motivated to leverage home advantage and improve group standings. Peñarol aims to defy odds and prove their strength away from Montevideo.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -162, draw: +290, away: +460 Racing Club ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: -132, away: +102, line: -0.75 Racing Club -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -150, under: +115, line: 2 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Racing Club -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Racing Club moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Velez Sarsfield vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Castelão, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza host Vélez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 first leg, with Fortaleza showing poor recent form but having home advantage; Vélez possess solid defense but have struggled recently on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza have won only 1 of their last 10 matches with poor offensive output (0.9 goals per game) and defensive vulnerabilities (2.2 conceded per game). Vélez Sarsfield have been losing recently but maintain better defensive discipline and possession stats.
  • These teams have never met before, adding unpredictability to the match dynamics.
  • No notable injury information available for either side, implying lineups will be near full strength.
  • Fortaleza play at home in a familiar environment. The match is a high-stakes Copa Libertadores knockout game, increasing motivation for both sides.
  • Both teams are motivated but Fortaleza may have increased urgency to recover from their recent poor run especially on home soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Velez Sarsfield -110, Fortaleza-EC +360, Draw +225 Velez Sarsfield ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Velez Sarsfield -0.5 -122, Fortaleza-EC +50 -108 Velez Sarsfield -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 -108, Under 2 -122 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Velez Sarsfield win; Spread: Velez Sarsfield -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs River Plate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion, Paraguay

Game Overview

This Round of 16 first-leg Copa Libertadores matchup features Libertad Asuncion hosting River Plate. Libertad has a home advantage but has shown modest recent form, while River Plate is slightly favored with stronger overall performance and away resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has a recent run of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, possessing 31.3% ball control. River Plate is unbeaten in six, scoring 1.47 goals on average with a stronger attack and 41.8% possession.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings show a balanced but slightly River Plate-favored record, with two encounters last season and tight scorelines.
  • No explicit injury reports available; assume both sides near full strength based on latest data.
  • The match venue favors Libertad, playing at home in Asuncion, but River Plate's experience in Libertadores knockout rounds partly offsets this.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure an advantage in the two-legged tie. River Plate's international pedigree may boost their competitive edge while Libertad will aim to capitalize on home conditions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad 330, River Plate -110, Draw 235 River Plate ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Libertad +50 -115, River Plate -0.5 -115 River Plate -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -140, Under 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline River Plate 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to have under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Club Universitario de Deportes vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Monumental de Lima, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Club Universitario de Deportes hosts Palmeiras-SP in the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores round of 16 first leg at the Estadio Monumental de Lima. Palmeiras is a Brazilian Serie A leader with strong recent form and historical strength in Libertadores. Universitario shows solid defense domestically but faces a formidable Brazilian opponent on home turf.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has won 3 of last 5 matches, unbeaten, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 0.8. Universitario has mixed form (2W-1D-2L) with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.2 goals per match but scoring 2.2 goals per match recently.
  • Since 2021, Palmeiras won 2 matches versus Universitario who has yet to register a win. Total goals in meetings favor Palmeiras (9 total goals) with 100% win rate on Asian handicap by Universitario but Palmeiras dominate outright.
  • No specific injury information is currently available for either team implying squads are likely near full strength.
  • Home advantage for Universitario plays in Lima, but Palmeiras’ experience and Brazilian league form mitigate home field edge. This venue also hosts the Libertadores final later this year.
  • Both teams highly motivated; Palmeiras aiming to assert dominance early in the knockout stage and Universitario driven to defend home turf strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Club Universitario de Deportes: 3.4, Palmeiras-SP: 1, Draw: 2.05 Palmeiras-SP ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Universitario +50: -128, Palmeiras -0.5: -102 Palmeiras -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals: 1.1, Under 2 goals: -145 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras will win the match outright given superior form, historical dominance, and quality, but a close game is expected.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Botafogo vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Round of 16 Copa Libertadores match between Botafogo and LDU Quito, with Botafogo favored at home given recent form and strong lineup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo shows superior recent form and consistent results in domestic and international matches, while LDU Quito has struggled recently and is underdog here.
  • Limited recent direct encounters favor Botafogo, who have secured better results at home.
  • No major injuries reported for either side impacting starting lineup significantly.
  • Home advantage for Botafogo at Nilton Santos stadium and familiar conditions favor them; travel and altitude less favorable for LDU Quito.
  • Botafogo motivated to progress deep in Copa Libertadores and capitalize on home advantage; LDU Quito under pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -245, LDU Quito: 725, Draw: 360 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -1.25: -118, LDU Quito +1.25: -112 Botafogo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win outright, covering the spread comfortably and the match to have under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Flamengo-RJ vs. Internacional-RS Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo-RJ vs Internacional-RS – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

First leg of the Round of 16 in the 2025 Copa Libertadores between Flamengo-RJ and Internacional-RS, two top Brazilian clubs with strong recent performances in domestic and continental competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo-RJ has been performing very well domestically, currently second in the Brazilian Serie A, and showing solid form in Libertadores group stages. Internacional-RS has had a respectable campaign but lacks the momentum Flamengo carries.
  • Historically, Flamengo holds a favorable record against Internacional in both domestic leagues and continental tournaments, including recent Copa Libertadores meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side, indicating both teams will likely field close to their strongest lineups.
  • Match is at Flamengo's home ground, Maracanã, which offers a significant home advantage with strong fan support and familiar conditions.
  • High motivation on both sides given the knockout nature of this stage, but Flamengo's quest to secure an early advantage at home is expected to drive a more dominant performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline flamengo: -190, internacional: 600, draw: 295 Flamengo-RJ ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread flamengo_-1: -118, internacional_+1: -112 Flamengo-RJ -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2: -150, under_2: 115 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo-RJ to win on the Moneyline, cover the -1 goal spread, and the match to go under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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