Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Juventude – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium
Game Overview
This Brazil Campeonato matchup features two struggling teams near the bottom of the table. Sport Recife are at home but have a poor recent home record and offense struggles, while Juventude have inconsistent away form yet carry confidence from a prior win vs Sport Recife. Both teams have issues in scoring and defending, making this a tightly contested and tactical game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sport Recife have won only 1 of their last 17 home matches, drawing many, and conceding heavily. Juventude have lost 3 away on the bounce but recently beat Sport Recife 2-0, showing some offensive potential on the road.
- In 5 recent official matches, wins are evenly split (2-2) with 1 draw. The last meeting was Juventude 2-0 Sport Recife. Average goals in their matches is about 2.8 per game, indicating moderate scoring.
- No specific injury news reported; both squads expected to have mostly full lineups.
- No significant external influences like weather or travel strain. Match played at Sport Recife’s home ground which historically favors the home team, albeit currently in poor form.
- Both teams are fighting relegation, increasing motivation. Sport Recife slightly more desperate to exploit home advantage, Juventude seeking to build on psychological edge from previous win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sport Recife: -133, Juventude: 390, Draw: 245 | Sport Recife | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Sport Recife -0.75: +100, Juventude +75: -120 | Sport Recife -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: +102 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sport Recife -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sport Recife to win on moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-0