Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Not specified
Game Overview
This match between Sport Recife and Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Campeonato is expected to be a closely contested affair. Sport Recife has a slight edge in terms of the moneyline odds, but Cruzeiro's historical head-to-head performance suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cruzeiro averages 1.17 goals per match, while Sport Recife averages 1.45 goals per match in the current season. Sport Recife has a strong home record, but Cruzeiro's away performance is notable.
- Cruzeiro has historically performed better against Sport Recife, winning 12 matches out of 21, with 4 draws. Sport Recife has won 5 matches.
- No specific injury information is available.
- External factors such as weather and field conditions could influence the game, but no specific details are available.
- Both teams will be highly motivated, with a win crucial for their standings in the league.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sport Recife: 145, Cruzeiro: 205, Draw: 220 | Draw or Cruzeiro win could be good value bets due to the odds, but Sport Recife is favored. | Cruzeiro: 40%, Sport Recife: 35%, Draw: 25% |
| Spread | Cruzeiro: 25 -130, Sport Recife: -0.25 110 | Cruzeiro with a spread of +0.25 offers good value. | 60% for Cruzeiro covering the spread |
| Over/under | Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 | Under 2 goals seems more likely given the teams' recent scoring trends. | 55% for under |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cruzeiro -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Given the historical head-to-head and recent performance, a draw or a narrow win for Cruzeiro is possible, but the odds favor Sport Recife.
Predicted Score: 1-1 or 0-1