Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Corinthians – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Arena de Pernambuco
Game Overview
A Brazil Serie A clash where Corinthians enter as favorites given their superior form and standing compared to struggling Sport Recife.
Key Factors to Consider
- Corinthians have a stronger recent form with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, holding 9th place. Sport Recife struggle with 1 win, 8 draws, and 12 losses, sitting at 20th with poor goal difference (-19).
- Recent Head-to-Head data favors Corinthians with more consistent results, and a historical advantage over Sport Recife.
- No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side.
- Match played at Sport Recife's home ground but home advantage is mitigated by their poor home form and motivation.
- Corinthians motivated to chase important points to improve their mid-table position, while Sport Recife battle to climb from the relegation zone.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sport Recife: +188, Draw: +200, Corinthians: +160 | Corinthians | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Sport Recife: +102, Corinthians: -122 | Corinthians 0 (Draw No Bet) | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Over/under | Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 | Over 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Corinthians 35% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Corinthians to win on the moneyline, with spread on Corinthians 0 and over 2 goals in total.
Predicted Score: 1-2