Match Analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield, England
Game Overview
The EFL Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday (21st position) and Swansea City (13th position) sees a form and quality gap favoring Swansea, who are positioned higher in the table and have a recent better head-to-head record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Swansea City have shown better form with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 games, scoring 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.0, while Sheffield Wednesday have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss with lower attacking output (0.8 goals per match) and slightly higher conceding rate (1.2 goals per match).
- In past 15 meetings since 2008, Swansea won 6 times, Sheffield Wednesday once, and 8 draws. Recent seasons show Swansea's dominance with 3 wins and 2 draws in last 5 H2H, highlighting Swanseaβs defensive solidity and Sheffield's struggles scoring.
- No explicit current injury data available indicating major absences for either side, suggesting both teams likely field strong lineups.
- Sheffield Wednesday play at home with some home advantage, but have struggled at home relative to league standard. No unusual external disruptions reported.
- Sheffield Wednesday, sitting 21st, face relegation pressure, likely increasing motivation to earn points. Swansea, mid-table and more stable, can play with less pressure but desire to consolidate higher league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sheffield Wednesday: +225, Swansea City: +114, Draw: +220 | Swansea City | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Sheffield Wednesday +25: -105, Swansea City -0.25: -115 | Swansea City -0.25 | β β β ββ 63% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Swansea City 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Swansea City at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Swansea City to win on the moneyline given form, quality, and superior H2H record
Predicted Score: 0-1