Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Queens Park Rangers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bramall Lane
Game Overview
Sheffield United host Queens Park Rangers in a Championship clash with both teams struggling for form. Sheffield United are at home but have lost three straight, while QPR have won five in a row but are missing key players. The head-to-head is tilted toward Sheffield United historically, but recent form and injuries create a volatile matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sheffield United have lost their last three matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game but conceding 1.0. QPR have won five straight, scoring 1.6 per game but conceding 1.2. Both teams are scoring but also vulnerable defensively.
- Sheffield United lead the all-time H2H with 12 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses. In the last six meetings, Sheffield United have a 50% win rate. Recent H2H shows a slight edge to Sheffield United, but QPR have been improving.
- Sheffield United are missing Ben Godfrey, Gustavo Hamer, Michael Cooper, Ollie Arblaster, and Tahith Chong. QPR are missing Rhys Norrington-Davies (suspension), Joe Walsh, Kwame Poku, and Ziyad Larkeche. Both teams are significantly weakened, but Sheffield United's midfield is especially depleted.
- Sheffield United are at home, which typically provides a boost, but their recent form and injuries undermine this advantage. QPR are on a winning streak but face a tough away fixture with a depleted squad.
- Both teams are mid-table with little immediate pressure, but QPR's winning streak gives them momentum and confidence. Sheffield United need a win to stop their slide and avoid further relegation concerns.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -104, away: 250, draw: 260 | Queens Park Rangers ML | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | home: -0.5 -109, away: 50 -121 | Queens Park Rangers +0.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: 2.5 -115, under: 2.5 -111 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Queens Park Rangers 47% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Queens Park Rangers will win outright. Despite Sheffield United's historical edge and home advantage, QPR's superior recent form, momentum, and Sheffield United's injury crisis make the away team the higher EV play. Sheffield United's midfield is decimated, and QPR have shown resilience and scoring ability in their recent wins.
Predicted Score: 1-2