Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Millwall – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bramall Lane, Sheffield, England
Game Overview
This EFL Championship match features Sheffield United hosting Millwall at Bramall Lane. Sheffield United currently struggle near the bottom of the league (23rd), while Millwall hold a mid-table position (11th). Recent form favors Millwall with better goal-scoring and win records. The match is key for Sheffield to improve their standing and for Millwall to push for higher league positioning.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sheffield United have had a poor start to the season with several losses (0-1 vs Swansea, 1-2 vs Birmingham) and injuries to key players like Jamie Shackleton and Ollie Arblaster. Millwall have shown more stability, scoring 12 goals in their last 5 matches and displaying better offensive threat, led by players like Camiel Neghli and Mihailo Ivanovic.
- Historically, Millwall hold a slight edge with 8 wins to Sheffield United's 7 in their last 18 encounters, with 3 draws. In their last meeting in April 2025, Millwall won 1-0 at Bramall Lane.
- Sheffield United currently face multiple injuries including Jamie Shackleton (foot injury, out until early September), Ollie Arblaster (leg injury, out late August), and Tom Davies (muscle injury, out late August), potentially weakening their midfield and attack options. No recent significant injuries reported for Millwall.
- Match is played at Sheffield United's home ground which typically supports their performance. Recent fixtures show Sheffield Unitedβs squad may still be adjusting after injury setbacks. No adverse weather or other conditions have been noted.
- Sheffield United are highly motivated to secure points to escape relegation zone pressures, while Millwall aim to maintain their upper-mid table position and capitalize on recent good form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Millwall: 280, Sheffield United: -105, Draw: 225 | Draw | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Millwall: 50 -122, Sheffield United: -0.5 102 | Millwall +0.5 (draw or win) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sheffield United 40% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sheffield United at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering Sheffield United's injury issues, poor form, and Millwall's historical edge and current momentum, Millwall are slightly favored to win or at least draw. Expect a competitive and close match with a slight advantage for Millwall.
Predicted Score: 1-1