Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Derby County – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bramall Lane
Game Overview
Sheffield United faces Derby County in an EFL Championship match at Bramall Lane, with Sheffield United showing stronger recent form and historical dominance in head-to-head encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sheffield United has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and conceding 0.6 per game. Derby County has not won any of their last 5 matches, drawing 2 and losing 3, with 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
- Sheffield United has a significant edge in H2H, winning 14 out of 24 total meetings and winning the last 3 matches at Bramall Lane including a recent 1-0 victory.
- No specific injury data was available, but squad fitness levels appear balanced with no critical absences reported.
- Match played at Sheffield United's home ground Bramall Lane where they have recorded favorable recent results versus Derby.
- Sheffield United, currently with better recent results and home advantage, likely have higher motivation to consolidate their Championship position compared to Derby County struggling for wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sheffield United: -124, Derby County: 335, Draw: 230 | Sheffield United | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Sheffield United -0.5: -120, Derby County +50: 100 | Sheffield United -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sheffield United 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sheffield United to win the match
Predicted Score: 2-0