Match Analysis: Seattle Sounders FC vs San Diego FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-29
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Lumen Field, Seattle
Game Overview
The upcoming MLS match between Seattle Sounders FC and San Diego FC is poised to be competitive, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities this season. Seattle Sounders FC have a solid home record with a tendency towards high-scoring games, while San Diego FC has demonstrated resilience, having won their only direct meeting and scoring consistently on the road. The match is expected to feature multiple goals given historical and current season data.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle Sounders FC average 1.88 goals per match at home with 69.23% of home games going over 2.5 goals, while San Diego FC average 1.89 goals per away game with 85.71% of away games over 2.5 goals. Seattle has won 5 of their last 10 and lost only 2, whereas San Diego has won 6 but lost 3 in their last 10 games. Both teams have recent winning momentum.
- San Diego FC leads the direct encounters having won the only match against Seattle Sounders, with no draws recorded. Matches between them have averaged 3 goals, highlighting an attacking style from both sides. Recent streaks indicate both teams did not score in the last two direct matches, but overall the rivalry tends to produce multiple goals.
- No specific injury details are available from the current data, suggesting both teams might be near full strength.
- The game is played at Seattle's home ground, Lumen Field, which traditionally provides a strong home advantage and a supportive atmosphere favoring Seattle. Weather and pitch condition data are not currently available but typically Seattle has good conditions for league matches.
- Seattle Sounders, playing at home, will be motivated to overturn their prior defeat in direct clashes and solidify their position, while San Diego FC look to maintain their undefeated record against Seattle and capitalize on their strong away form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego FC: 330, Seattle Sounders FC: -129, Draw: 275 | Seattle Sounders FC | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | San Diego FC: 50 @ 101, Seattle Sounders FC: -0.5 @ -133 | Seattle Sounders FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -123, Under 2.5: -108 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Sounders FC are favored to win the match by a narrow margin due to home advantage and overall consistent performance. The match is likely to see over 2.5 goals given both teams' attacking tendencies and previous high-scoring encounters.
Predicted Score: 2:1