Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs FC Basel – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
Game Overview
The UEFA Europa League group stage match sees SC Freiburg hosting FC Basel. Both teams come into the fixture with recent domestic wins and a strong motivation to start their European campaign positively. Freiburg has a slight edge due to home advantage and recent superior form.
Key Factors to Consider
- SC Freiburg shows strong recent form with three wins in the last five matches, including a 3-1 win against VfB Stuttgart. FC Basel also arrives in good shape but with less convincing offensive output.
- SC Freiburg holds a better historical record against FC Basel in head-to-head meetings, reinforcing their position as favorites.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that could severely impact starting lineups or team performance.
- Freiburg benefits from playing at home in the Europa-Park Stadion with familiar conditions; no adverse weather or travel issues reported.
- Both teams aim to secure three points in the group stage opener, with Freiburg especially motivated to leverage home advantage and maintain momentum from recent wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg -136, FC Basel +309, Draw +329 | SC Freiburg | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | SC Freiburg -0.5 at -131, FC Basel +50 at +101 | SC Freiburg -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3 goals -121, Under 3 goals -109 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: SC Freiburg at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
SC Freiburg moneyline win
Predicted Score: 3-1