Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Augsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
Game Overview
The Bundesliga season opener between SC Freiburg and Augsburg features a confident Freiburg side who finished strong last season against a struggling Augsburg team looking to improve. Freiburg are favorites at home with a strong historical dominance in the matchup and better recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- SC Freiburg ended last season with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last five games and have shown consistent home strength. Augsburg struggled recently, despite occasional scoring ability including a 2-0 win in their last match.
- Freiburg have won 7 of the last 8 Bundesliga meetings against Augsburg, indicating a strong psychological and tactical edge.
- No significant injury reports affecting key starters on either side ahead of the match.
- Match played at Freiburg home ground, Europa-Park Stadion, confers advantage to host. No weather or scheduling disruptions anticipated.
- Freiburg motivated to capitalize on home advantage and build on last season's momentum; Augsburg motivated to avoid early setbacks and improve away form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -118, away: +345, draw: +252 | SC Freiburg win | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | home: -118, away: -102 | SC Freiburg -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -109, under: -111 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
SC Freiburg to win moneyline, -0.5 spread to Freiburg, Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0