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Sao Paulo vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbí, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brazilian Serie A match features Sao Paulo hosting Vitoria at Morumbí stadium, with Sao Paulo positioned 8th and Vitoria 16th in the league standings after 18 matches. Sao Paulo shows moderate home strength and better recent form compared to Vitoria.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo has 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with a neutral goal difference (0), displaying solid but inconsistent form. Vitoria has 3 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses with a -4 goal difference, indicating struggles especially on the road and difficulty converting draws into wins.
  • Historically, Sao Paulo owns a superior record and higher winning probability in this matchup, with about a 60% chance of victory against Vitoria’s estimated 14-18%, and draws roughly 25%. Sao Paulo consistently dominates home encounters.
  • No specific injury reports available, suggesting likely full or near-full squads for both teams.
  • Playing at home gives Sao Paulo a notable advantage, combined with crowd support and familiar conditions. No adverse external conditions reported.
  • Sao Paulo seeks to climb higher in the league table after a mid-table placement, while Vitoria aims to escape relegation zone pressure, increasing Sao Paulo’s motivation given home advantage and league positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -163, Vitoria: 510, Draw: 275 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sao Paulo: -0.75 -122, Vitoria: 75 102 Sao Paulo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -104, Under 2: -116 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.75 spread, and a game total under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sao Paulo vs. Vitoria Prediction

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Vitoria – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-09 Time: 9:30 PM UTC Location: Morumbí, Sao Paulo, Brazil Game Overview This Brazilian Serie A match features Sao Paulo hosting Vitoria at Morumbí stadium, with Sao Paulo positioned 8th and Vitoria 16th in the league standings after 18 matches. Sao Paulo shows moderate […]

August 9, 2025 Sao Paulo Soccer Vitoria

MORE FROM BRAZIL-SERIE-A

Juventude vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-11
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi

Game Overview

This Brasileirão Série A matchup features Juventude hosting Corinthians. Both teams have struggled recently, but Corinthians possess a younger squad and a slightly stronger overall form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude is on a poor run with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while Corinthians have 2 losses, 2 draws, and 1 win in their last 5, showing slightly better stability.
  • Recent head-to-heads show a balance with some high-scoring matches, including a 3-1 win for Corinthians and a 2-1 win for Juventude, plus draws. Matches tend to be competitive but Corinthians have a slight edge.
  • No specific injury data reported for either side from available sources, implying relatively stable squads.
  • Playing at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi gives Juventude home advantage but their poor form and younger Corinthians team dynamics may offset this.
  • Corinthians appear more motivated to climb the table, while Juventude struggles to escape the relegation zone pressures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians: 1.2, Juventude: 2.55, Draw: 2.2 Corinthians ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Corinthians: -115, Juventude: -105 Corinthians -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians to win on the moneyline; Corinthians -0.25 on the spread; Under 2 goals on over/under

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio's home stadium

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brazil matchup features Grêmio hosting Sport Recife. Grêmio has a marginally stronger recent form at home with slightly better defensive stats, while Sport Recife has shown resilience with a solid recent winning record and a low rate of conceding goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio's recent form shows moderate attacking power with an average of ~1.32 goals scored and a solid defense conceding around 0.68 per match. Sport Recife averages 1.6 goals scored and only about 0.8 conceded in their recent matches, indicating a balanced team performance.
  • Across about 24 to 25 previous encounters, Grêmio has won approximately 7-8 matches while Sport Recife has won around 10. The teams tend to have moderately high scoring games (~2.9 goals per match historically). Recent H2H is fairly balanced with slight edge to Sport Recife in wins.
  • No specific recent injury data available for key players on either side, so full-strength line-ups are assumed.
  • Match played at Grêmio's home ground, giving them home advantage. No unusual external factors impacting match conditions have been reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points in the league; Sport Recife has been on a better recent streak which could boost confidence, while Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to recover points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -115, away: 340, draw: 250 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.5: -115, Sport Recife +50: -105 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 2.25: 105, under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win moneyline and cover -0.5 spread with under 2.25 goals total.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Cruzeiro vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Santos in a Brasileirão Serie A clash. Cruzeiro is in strong form and ranks 2nd in the league, while Santos struggles near the relegation zone at 15th place. The match is critical for Cruzeiro to maintain title push momentum and for Santos to avoid further distancing from safety.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has won 11 of 18 matches with a +19 goal difference, showing balanced attack and defense. Santos has only 5 wins in 17 matches with a -4 goal difference, reflecting struggles on both ends.
  • Historically, Cruzeiro dominates recent encounters vs. Santos, with a higher win rate and positive goal differential, giving them psychological and tactical edges.
  • No major absences reported for either team, suggesting near-full strength squads available for selection.
  • Match played at Cruzeiro's home ground, where they have strong support and a high win rate, providing a clear advantage.
  • Cruzeiro motivated to consolidate top league position and fight for the title. Santos highly motivated to escape relegation zone but lacks consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: -180, Santos: 525, Draw: 300 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cruzeiro: -1 -102, Santos: 1 -118 Cruzeiro -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Vasco da Gama vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

A tightly contested Brazil Campeonato Serie A match between Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro, two historically balanced rivals with nearly equal head-to-head wins and draws. Vasco is playing at home with slightly better recent offensive stats, while Atletico shows stronger defensive solidity and efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches but also conceded around 1.6 per game. Atletico Mineiro scored 3 goals in their last 5 but concede 1.2 per match and show a higher Asian handicap win % recently (60% vs Vasco's 20%).
  • In their last 23 encounters, Vasco and Atletico are nearly even with 9 wins each and 5 draws. Over multiple sources and more recent stats, Vasco has a slight edge at home with 10 wins to Atletico’s 8, showing very balanced rivalry dynamics.
  • No major injury updates provided; expected lineups to be available closer to match start. Impact of absences likely minimal or unknown currently.
  • Match played at Vasco’s home ground, Estádio São Januário, providing nominal home advantage. No other significant external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are mid-table in Serie A (Vasco 11th, Atletico 12th) and motivated to gain points in the 19th round. Atletico’s slight recent form advantage and higher Asian handicap win % imply better momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 1.50, Atletico Mineiro 2.05, Draw 2.10 Draw ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread Atletico Mineiro +25 (-134), Vasco da Gama -0.25 (112) Atletico Mineiro +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (100) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Palmeiras vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosting Ceará in Serie A Round 19 with Palmeiras historically dominant at home and having won the last 3 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras sits 3rd with 33 points from 16 matches (10W-3D-3L), scoring 21 goals and conceding 14. They are in decent form (ldwwwd). Ceará is 11th with 22 points from 17 matches (6W-4D-7L), more inconsistent with a 3W-2L recent split.
  • Palmeiras leads the H2H with 11 wins to Ceará's 4, and 5 draws out of 20 meetings. Palmeiras have won the last 3 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Ceará's 1.1.
  • No specific major injuries reported for either side ahead of the clash, lineups expected close to full strength.
  • The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground Allianz Parque, giving them a home advantage backed by strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain top table position and push for title; Ceará fighting to climb away from the mid-table logjam.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -205, Draw 320, Ceará 600 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Palmeiras -1 -115, Ceará +1 -105 Palmeiras -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline and cover the -1 spread; match to stay under 2.25 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Bahia vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Fluminense in a critical Brasileirão Serie A fixture with Bahia currently 4th and Fluminense 9th in the standings. Bahia are in better recent form and stronger at home, while Fluminense struggles on the road and has some key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia's recent form is solid with 8 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses overall and a strong 6-2-0 record at home. Fluminense has a weaker 7-2-7 record overall, with only 2-1-5 away, indicating struggles on the road.
  • Historical data and recent H2H slightly favor Bahia, who have a better goal difference and higher league position. Wincomparator places Bahia win probability at about 54%, with Fluminense at 27% and Draw at 19%.
  • Fluminense is reportedly missing some key players affecting both defense and attack, undermining their away performance. Bahia's injury situation is comparatively stable.
  • The match is at Bahia's home stadium, where they have a strong home record. Fluminense's recent travel and fatigue from international fixtures may affect performance.
  • Bahia, being higher in the table and solidifying a top-4 position, are highly motivated. Fluminense, mid-table with inconsistent form, have less immediate pressure but need points to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia -105, Fluminense 310, Draw 230 Bahia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bahia -0.5 100, Fluminense +50 -120 Bahia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -122, Under 2 102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match will end with under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fortaleza vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza faces Botafogo in a Brasileirão match at Fortaleza's home ground. Botafogo is currently mid-table in 7th, showing stronger form and historical superiority, while Fortaleza struggles near relegation at 18th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo has won 4 and drawn 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring an average 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6 per game. Fortaleza's recent form is weaker with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring and conceding roughly 1.2 goals per match each.
  • In their last 10 matches, Botafogo leads with 5 wins to Fortaleza's 2, and 3 draws. Botafogo averages 1.5 goals per H2H game, Fortaleza 0.8. Historically Botafogo has dominated the matchup.
  • No critical injury information is available, indicating near full squads for both sides.
  • Match is played at Fortaleza's home stadium, which could provide moderate home advantage despite their poor league standing.
  • Fortaleza is likely motivated by relegation-threatened status to secure points, while Botafogo aims to consolidate a top-half position and possibly challenge for higher spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 1.8, Fortaleza: 1.75, Draw: 2.05 Botafogo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Botafogo 0: -110, Fortaleza 0: -110 Fortaleza 0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.02, Under 2.25: 1.22 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo moneyline win, Fortaleza +0 spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Bragantino-SP vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino, currently 6th in the Brasileirão, hosts 13th-placed Internacional in a match critical for both sides seeking points for different objectives. Bragantino has shown stronger recent form and attacking potential, while Internacional struggles with consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has scored 21 goals and conceded 18 so far with 6 clean sheets, showing solid defense and good attacking output. Internacional has scored 21 goals but conceded 20 with 4 clean sheets, reflecting a weaker defensive record and inconsistent results.
  • Recent head-to-head history favors Internacional with 5 wins to Bragantino's 1 in their last six meetings, however, the recent leagues have seen balanced matches including draws and closely contested games.
  • No critical injury reports affecting starting lineups for both sides, squad fitness appears stable.
  • Bragantino’s home ground offers familiarity and an attacking style leveraging set pieces and individual skill—advantages on their home turf. Travel and schedule for Internacional could add minor fatigue factors.
  • Bragantino fights for a higher table position and potential continental qualification, providing strong motivation. Internacional is mid-table with less immediate pressure but needs points to avoid slipping.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino 1.50, Internacional 1.95, Draw 2.25 Bragantino ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bragantino 0 -132, Internacional 0 +111 Bragantino 0 spread (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 -102, Under 2.25 -118 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Home win (Bragantino)

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Flamengo vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features top-ranked Flamengo hosting 5th placed Mirassol in the Brasileirão. Flamengo are dominant favorites with strong offensive and possession metrics, while Mirassol have shown resilience but weaker overall statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo leads the league with a record of 10W-3D-2L, scoring 29 goals and conceding 6, demonstrating very strong offensive and defensive capabilities. Mirassol stands 5th with 6W-7D-2L, scoring 24 and conceding 14, indicating a competent but less dominant side.
  • No recent recorded head-to-head matches between Flamengo and Mirassol, suggesting no direct historical advantage for either side.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key Flamengo players; Mirassol's injury status is stable with no major absences impacting starting XI.
  • Match played at Flamengo's home ground, Estádio do Maracanã, providing significant home advantage with expected strong local support.
  • Flamengo motivated to maintain top league position and extend unbeaten streak; Mirassol motivated to close gap to top and upset a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo -305, Mirassol 850, Draw 420 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Flamengo -1.5 100, Mirassol +1.5 -120 Flamengo -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -110, Under 2.5 -110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win outright, cover the spread (-1.5), and match to go over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1


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