Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Grêmio – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 18, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil
Game Overview
São Paulo hosts Grêmio in the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Grêmio has won only one of their last seven matches, indicating a tough period for the team. São Paulo, being the home team, has a strong advantage with odds favoring them.
Key Factors to Consider
- São Paulo has been performing better than Grêmio recently, with Grêmio struggling to find consistency in their last few matches.
- Recent head-to-head data shows São Paulo has an edge, especially given Grêmio's recent performance.
- No specific injury reports are available, but Grêmio's form suggests they may be struggling with lineup consistency.
- The match is being played at São Paulo's home stadium, which adds to their advantage.
- São Paulo will be highly motivated to secure a home win, especially against a struggling opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | São Paulo: -120, Grêmio: 360, Draw: 245 | São Paulo win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | São Paulo: -0.5 -115, Grêmio: 50 -115 | São Paulo to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 2 -113, Under: 2 -115 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sao Paulo 176% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 176% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
São Paulo is likely to win due to their home advantage and Grêmio's recent form.
Predicted Score: São Paulo 1, Grêmio 0