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Sao Paulo vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bahia - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Serie A match between mid-table rivals with São Paulo seeking to improve their inconsistent season and Bahia aiming to climb higher into the upper half. Both sides have shown attacking intent but have struggled for consistency at the back.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo have won 6 of their last 10 home matches (60% win rate), while Bahia have only 2 wins in their last 10 away (20% win rate). Both teams have scored in a majority of their recent games, though São Paulo struggle for clean sheets and Bahia score regularly on the road. Neither team is in peak form, but São Paulo’s home edge is notable[2].
  • Head-to-head stats show São Paulo with a slight psychological edge, especially at home. Recent meetings have seen a mix of results, but nothing overwhelming in favor of either side. Neither team has dominated this fixture in the past year.
  • No major injuries reported in the latest starting lineups; both teams are expected to field close to full-strength XIs with minimal absences[3].
  • No significant external factors (weather, travel, suspensions, etc.) are reported that would impact the match.
  • Bahia are higher in the table but need points to challenge for a Copa Libertadores spot; São Paulo have more to play for in mid-table, with both teams desperate for a win to improve their final positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo -109, Draw +235, Bahia +310 São Paulo win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bahia +50 (-112), São Paulo -0.5 (-108) São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 +110, Under 2.25 -130 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 93%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 93% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo are slight favorites at home (best odds 2.07 vs Bahia 3.85), but the match is likely to be close, with both teams scoring and the Over 2.25 goals market as a value play given the league context and recent scoring trends[1][2].

Predicted Score: São Paulo 2-1 Bahia

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Sao Paulo vs. Bahia Prediction

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bahia – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-26 Time: 12:30 AM UTC Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo Game Overview A Brasileirão Serie A match between mid-table rivals with São Paulo seeking to improve their inconsistent season and Bahia aiming to climb higher into the upper half. Both sides have shown attacking […]

Bahia October 26, 2025 Sao Paulo Soccer

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Fluminense vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Internacional in a midtable Brasileirão clash. Fluminense is in stronger recent form, but both sides are inconsistent away and at home, respectively. The teams are closely matched historically, but Fluminense's home dominance and Internacional's poor away record suggest a tight but likely home win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense are 7th, have a strong home form (most recent home matches all wins, no draws), and score in each of their last 5 games. Internacional are 14th, struggle away (second-worst away record in the league), but have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • Historical H2H is close (Fluminense 13 wins, Internacional 12 wins, 11 draws), but Fluminense comfortably won their last meeting this season (0–2). No recent draws in direct encounters[3][7].
  • No major injury news reported from available sources.
  • No notable external factors reported (weather, suspensions, etc.).
  • Both teams are out of contention for the title but are jostling for a top-half finish. Fluminense, at home in the iconic Maracanã, will be heavily favored by the crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense -119 | Internacional +340 | Draw +240 Fluminense ML ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Fluminense -0.5 (-118) | Internacional +50 (-102) Fluminense -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-100) | Under 2.25 (-120) Over 2.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win by a narrow margin in a moderately high-scoring game. Internacional’s porous away defense and Fluminense’s attacking consistency at home are key differentiators.

Predicted Score: Fluminense 2–1 Internacional


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Vitoria vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas

Game Overview

Mid-table clash between Vitoria (home) and Corinthians (away) in the Brazilian Serie A. Both teams have similar moneyline odds, reflecting an evenly matched encounter. Recent form and motivation for points will be decisive factors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria is on an improved recent run with two wins in their last three league matches, both at home. Corinthians are more inconsistent, alternating wins and losses but remain slightly higher in the table. Neither team is prolific in attack, but both have vulnerabilities in defense.
  • Historical results between the sides are not provided in the search data, but current season table positions (Corinthians 11th, Vitoria 17th) suggest a slight edge to Corinthians in overall quality.
  • No significant injury news is available in the search data for either team.
  • Home advantage for Vitoria—taken seriously in Brazil—could be a mental edge, especially given their recent home form.
  • Both teams are out of title contention but need points; Vitoria is closer to the relegation zone, which could increase their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitoria +172, Corinthians +180, Draw +193 Vitoria ★★★☆☆ 61%
Spread Corinthians 0 -105, Vitoria 0 -115 Vitoria Draw No Bet ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 -115, Under 2 -105 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight, competitive match is likely, with significant value on Vitoria's moneyline and over 2 goals due to both teams' increased stakes and recent form.

Predicted Score: Vitoria 2-1 Corinthians


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 25, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Galo's home stadium

Game Overview

This matchup between Atletico Mineiro and Ceará pits two teams with different recent performances against each other. Atletico Mineiro has been strong at home, while Ceará has shown resilience in their away games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro has a strong home record, but Ceará's recent form suggests they could pose a challenge. Atletico Mineiro's consistency at home is a significant factor.
  • Historically, Atletico Mineiro has a slight edge over Ceará, but recent H2H matches have been competitive.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team.
  • No significant external factors like weather or scandals impacting the teams.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Atletico Mineiro's push for a higher league position might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -101 (Atletico Mineiro), 320 (Ceará), 210 (Draw) Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -0.5 100 (Atletico Mineiro), 50 -120 (Ceará) Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over: 2 -105, Under: 2 -115 Under ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win with a low-scoring game.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Atletico Mineiro


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Bahia vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-22
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Internacional in a Brasileirão Serie A clash where Bahia holds a stronger league position and home form advantage. Internacional struggles away and has a negative goal difference, while Bahia is solid at home with recent wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia is 6th with 46 points, strong home form (9W, 3D, 1L at home) including last two home wins; Internacional 14th with 35 points, poor away form, and a negative goal difference (-6).
  • Recent H2H matches favor Bahia with more victories and better defensive record, especially at home.
  • No significant absences reported for either side that could heavily impact the lineups or strategy.
  • Match played at Bahia's home ground, favorable for home crowd support; no adverse weather or travel concerns reported.
  • Bahia is motivated to consolidate a top-table position and push for continental spots; Internacional fights to avoid relegation, but poor away results lower confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 101, Internacional: 280, Draw: 230 Bahia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bahia -0.5: 102, Internacional +50: -122 Bahia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Santos vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santos vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-21
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Vila Belmiro, Santos

Game Overview

Santos, ranked lower in Brasileiro Serie A, hosts Vitória, who have improved table position over the last year but remain in the relegation mix. Santos shows mild home advantage with patchy form, while Vitória has struggled badly on the road. Both sides are defensive, rarely seeing high-scoring games or both teams scoring. The match is likely to be tight, with Santos favored but vulnerable to continued scoring woes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos have lost 3 of their last 10 home matches, but have won 40%, drawing 30%–decent but not dominant. Their recent 4-match scoring drought is alarming. Vitória have lost 7 of their last 10 away, drawing 30%, winning 0%–statistically one of the worst away teams in the league[5].
  • Santos leads historically, though Vitória’s last away win was over a decade ago in 2013. The average goal tally in their meetings is 3.8, but recent trends suggest a lower-scoring game this time[1].
  • No critical team injuries mentioned in data, but Claudinho (Vitória) is on 4 yellow cards, Ze Ivaldo (Santos) on 3—watch for suspension risks.
  • Santos' crowd could provide a modest edge. The fact neither side is safe from the relegation battle adds pressure.
  • Both teams are desperate for points; Santos especially needs to end their goal drought. Vitória is fighting to stay clear of the bottom.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos -168, Vitoria 450, Draw 290 Santos ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Santos -0.75 -128, Vitoria 75 108 Vitoria +0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -118, Under 2.25 -102 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santos to edge a low-scoring, nervy match at home, but neither team is in form. Under 2.5 goals is the strongest statistical play.

Predicted Score: Santos 1-0 Vitoria


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Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-20
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features Vasco da Gama hosting Fluminense in a tightly contested Brasileirão fixture. Vasco shows stronger home form and a potent attacking style, while Fluminense has a solid defensive record and consistent away performances. The encounter historically is balanced with many draws and close scorelines.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama have a home win rate of 43% with recent results including 4 wins in their last 10 matches; they average 1.64 goals scored at home with defensive vulnerability conceding 1.29 goals. Fluminense have a better away record with 6 wins out of 10; defensively solid and known for tactical discipline.
  • In the last 63 matches, Vasco da Gama and Fluminense share a near-equal head-to-head record with Vasco slightly ahead in wins (24-15) and goals (76-69), but Vasco's last away win at Fluminense was in 2018, reflecting Fluminense's home strength.
  • No explicit major injury information currently available; both teams expected near full strength.
  • Match at Vasco's home ground São Januário provides home advantage; local climate and fan support favor Vasco. Both clubs have high motivation to secure points in the tight Brasileirão standings.
  • Vasco da Gama needs a home victory to improve their mid-table position and bolster confidence. Fluminense is motivated to maintain their strong away form and press for top table contention, making this a competitive matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama +205 / Fluminense +149 / Draw +200 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fluminense -0.25 +112 / Vasco da Gama +25 -134 Vasco da Gama +0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 -122 / Under 2 +102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vasco da Gama to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Juventude vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup between Juventude and Bragantino-SP presents a competitive encounter with both teams having different strengths and weaknesses. Juventude, currently 19th in the league, has struggled with consistency, while Bragantino sits 10th. The head-to-head record is closely contested, with each team having won three matches and drawn two. Recent form suggests Bragantino has an edge, but Juventude's home advantage could be crucial.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has performed better in the league, but Juventude's home games often yield tight results.
  • Historically even, with both teams having won three matches each.
  • Specific injury details are not provided, but both teams will likely have players missing due to the long season.
  • Weather conditions and field quality could influence the match, but these are not specified.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Bragantino seeking to climb the table and Juventude needing points to escape relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino-SP: +163, Juventude: +170, Draw: +220 Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Bragantino-SP: 0 -112, Juventude: 0 -108 Juventude ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Over 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juventude 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Juventude at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the competitive nature of this match, a narrow win for either team is plausible, but Bragantino's recent form suggests a slight edge.

Predicted Score: Juventude 1, Bragantino-SP 1


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Bahia vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Grêmio in a Brasileirão Série A late-season clash with Bahia positioned 6th and Grêmio 11th in the table. Bahia has strong home form, losing only once in 13 home games, while Grêmio struggles on the road with just 3 wins in 14 away matches this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has shown solid home performance with a record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in 13 home games. Grêmio's away form is subpar with only 3 wins out of 14. Bahia also has a slightly better overall record and positive goal difference (+3) compared to Grêmio's negative (-3).
  • Recent head-to-head data suggests a competitive matchup but Bahia has a slight edge in form and consistency at home against Grêmio historically.
  • No major absences reported for either team impacting starting lineups or key positions significantly.
  • The match being at Bahia’s home ground, Arena Fonte Nova, with a strong crowd backing, plus Grêmio’s travel fatigue as an away side, favors Bahia.
  • Bahia is motivated to consolidate their position in the top 6 for potential upper table/continental qualification, whereas Grêmio’s mid-table position reduces pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -146, away: 400, draw: 270 Bahia ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Bahia_-0.75: -112, Gremio_+75: -108 Bahia -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_2.5: +105, under_2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mirassol vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified (Mirassol at home)

Game Overview

Mirassol, currently 4th in Serie A, hosts 8th-placed Sao Paulo in a tightly contested match with strong home side momentum and contrasting recent head-to-head results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol is in excellent form (13W-10D-5L, +17 GD), while Sao Paulo (10W-8D-9L, +3 GD) is inconsistent, especially away. Mirassol's home record is notably impressive.
  • Last meeting on May 24, 2025, Mirassol shocked Sao Paulo 2-0 at Morumbi, despite Sao Paulo being favored. This suggests a shift in the competitive balance between the clubs.
  • No recent injury news provided in available sources — fitness is assumed to be near full for both sides pending further updates.
  • No external disruptions reported (e.g., weather, crowd); home-field advantage likely a factor for Mirassol.
  • Mirassol is chasing a top-4 finish and qualification for Copa Libertadores. Sao Paulo is mid-table, likely already focused on next season, which could affect intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: +134, Sao Paulo: +225, Draw: +200 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mirassol -0.25 (+100), Sao Paulo +25 (-120) Mirassol -0.25 (pick 'em, half-win on draw) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 (-118), Under 2 (-102) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol maintains home superiority, leveraging form and motivation to secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Mirassol


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