Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs CF Estrela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de Sao Miguel
Game Overview
Santa Clara hosts CF Estrela in a crucial Primeira Liga clash with both teams desperate for their first win of the season. Santa Clara seeks redemption after three losses and zero points, while Estrela Amadora has only earned two points from three games. Both teams have shown offensive struggles so far.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santa Clara has lost their first three matches and failed to score so far this season; their recent home form is weak but marginally better than Estrela, who have managed only two points and have significant scoring issues on the road with under 1.5 goals in almost all away matches.
- Recent direct confrontations suggest a competitive but low-scoring trend, with no clear dominant side. Historically, both teams tend to score few goals in their encounters.
- Santa Clara's defender Pedro Jose Pacheco remains out; Estrela Amadora is without banned midfielder Paulo Moreira and likely missing forward Fabio Ronaldo due to injury.
- Santa Clara recently played a European match (Conference League) possibly causing fatigue but still have home advantage in front of their passionate crowd at Estadio de Sao Miguel.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure their first win of the season to improve standings, with Santa Clara particularly desperate after three consecutive losses and an urgent need to avoid relegation concerns.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara -115, Draw +230, Estrela +345 | Santa Clara | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Santa Clara -0.5 (-115), Estrela +50 (-105) | Santa Clara -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2 (-118), Under 2 (-102) | Under 2 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0