Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Game Overview
San Jose Earthquakes face Vancouver Whitecaps FC in an MLS clash with San Jose's attack showing strong expected goals but defensive vulnerabilities. Vancouver has demonstrated better overall season form and ranking, with solid goalkeeping and a slightly better record on points.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose has a record of 7-8-10, scoring 47 goals but conceding 44, with a moderate save percentage of 66.4% and 4 clean sheets. Vancouver has a stronger season at 13-6-5, ranked 5th in MLS with 45 points and a better save percentage around 68.3%.
- Recent matches are closely contested with no clear domination. Both sides have shown the ability to score but also concede, suggesting a competitive game.
- No critical injuries reported for either side, lineups not yet announced.
- Match is at San Jose's home ground, potentially adding home advantage. Weather and travel conditions are normal with no significant disruptions noted.
- Vancouver's higher table positioning and point accumulation provide stronger incentive to maintain form, whereas San Jose will look to improve their inconsistent season performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Jose +121, Vancouver +186, Draw +290 | San Jose Earthquakes Win | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | San Jose -0.5 @ 1.15, Vancouver +50 @ -1.54 | San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 @ 1.01, Under 3.5 @ -1.35 | Over 3.5 Goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Jose Earthquakes -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and over 3.5 goals scored in total.
Predicted Score: 3-2